Totals to Offer the Best Value for Wednesday's NHL Picks

David Lawrence

Wednesday, December 10, 2014 12:53 PM GMT

After a whirlwind of a night on Tuesday where 10 NHL games were on the docket with 20 teams on the ice, things quiet down significantly on Wednesday. We’ll see just two teams on the ice but with an Original Six matchup between the Toronto Maple Leafs and Detroit Red Wings being highlighted on NBCSN, it should be a fun night for NHL betting cappers

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Detroit Red Wings
Odds: Red Wings -170
Although this is a rivalry with a lot of history behind it, it won’t mean much for NHL bettors handicapping Wednesday’s matchup. These days, the Maple Leafs are sputtering while the Red Wings are playing pretty well; so take this into consideration when placing your NHL picks. Heading into Tuesday, the Maple Leafs had gone 3-2 in their last five games. However, they did notch a 4-1 win at home versus the Detroit Red wings back on November 22nd. As for the Red Wings, that loss was just one of two that they’ve suffered in the last 11 games. The key to their success has been their offense as they’ve tallied three or more goals in eight straight games. The Red Wings scored 2.70 goals per game in October, which ranked them 14th in the NHL. But in November, that number shot up to 3.29 as the Red Wings finished fifth in goals scored in November. That strong performance has carried over into this month as Detroit is averaging 3.5 goals per game.

The Leafs are ranked eighth in goals allowed per game this season (3.00). Combined with the fact that the Red Wings offense is clicking and that the Maple Leafs will be in a back-to-back situation on the road as well as their third game in four nights, the over makes sense here. The Red Wings should win this game but the price tag costs more than I want to pay. That being the case, go over.

NHL Pick: Over 5.5 at The Greek

 

Edmonton Oilers vs. Anaheim Ducks
Odds: Ducks -245
The Edmonton Oilers finally ended their hideous 11-game losing streak on Sunday by topping the San Jose Sharks. After visiting the San Jose Sharks on Tuesday night, the Oilers now find themselves as a massive road dog in Anaheim on Wednesday.

It’s obviously tough to trust this Oilers team as entering Tuesday, they were tied for the fewest points in the NHL. The 3.33 goals per game that they cough up are the third-most in the NHL while the 2.22 that they put up is just 26th in the league. Overall, this team isn’t doing much of anything right.

Anaheim is back to business with four straight wins and while I expect them to win on Wednesday, it’s tough to bet them here as the juice is too high on the NHL odds. And while you might think that playing the puck line makes sense, it actually doesn’t when it involved Anaheim. They haven’t won by more than a goal in 11 straight games.

That being the case, we’ll look more to the total. Ducks goaltender Fredrik Andersen has an .895 save percentage this month and has given up 21 goals in his last 10. We know the Oilers will give up a bunch and now if the Ducks can do their share – and by all accounts, they should be able to against a slumping Andersen – then over makes sense.

NHL Pick: Over 5.5 at 5Dimes