Tell Your Bookie to Puck Off With Monday's NHL Playoffs Picks

Doug Upstone

Monday, April 18, 2016 12:00 PM GMT

After a slow start in the Stanley Cup playoffs, underdogs are coming on strong. Yesterday the pooches picked up three more winners and are in the black for profit at +1½ with 9-11 record but can they keep up that trend?

On Sunday we had our first home underdog of the postseason and the New York Islanders came through with a 4-3 OT winner over Florida, to take 2-1 series lead. The NHL odds for today have two more home dogs and here at sportsbookreview.com we have a longer article on Minnesota's chances against Dallas.

Yesterday was not a good day for me, leaving me at 10-9 and down a couple units, but on my monitored plays still 25-15 (up 5+ units) since last postseason.

In addition to our selections, we will be adding a new feature, looking at NHL props which think we have an excellent chance to win.


 

Not Sure Emotion Will Be Enough in Philadelphia
As if the Flyers needed any more reason to play down 0-2, prior to tonight's game there will be a tribute to their late chairman and founder Ed Snider, who died April 11. While emotion matters in any game, it is hard to sustain it without execution and having a lead in the game to keep the juices flowing.

Philadelphia has won five of their last seven at home against Washington and no doubt will bring an absolutely monster effort tonight. For the Flyers to win as +120 home underdogs according to GTBets, they have to start winning the special teams battles, being held scoreless on all eight power plays while conceding 3 of 8 as penalties killers, which is half the Capitals total goals.

The setup looks almost perfect for Philadelphia to get back in series, but Washington is the better team across the board and has the players and goaltender in Braden Holtby. A part of me says Philly, but my head says the Caps for NHL picks, with the Flyers 1-10 after two straight losses by two goals or more.

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Free NHL Pick:  Capitals -131
Best Line Offered: at Heritage

 

What To Think About the Kings vs. Sharks in Game 3
San Jose has backed up two points in the series with Los Angeles thus far. There prowess as the best road team in hockey has carried over to the playoffs and they are fueled by losing 3-0 lead two years ago in postseason to the Kings.

Though both Sharks victories have been by a single goal, they have controlled both games and really taken out Anze Kopitar, Drew Doughty and Tyler Toffoli, who have one point among them. Contrast that with San Jose captain Joe Pavelski who already has three goals.

Here is where it gets weird. The Sharks are only 18-23 SU at home, which is the poorest home record by a playoff team in 17 years. Can they step up and take another 3-0 lead over L.A. or will they allow the Kings to gain confidence and give them further hope they can even the series with Game 4 also at the SAP Center?

With Los Angeles having lost nine of past 13, superb goaltender Jonathan Quick on five-game losing streak to San Jose and the Sharks 19-7 in Game 3's, the home teams gets my call.

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Free NHL Pick:  Sharks -110
Best Line Offered: at BetOnline

 

Stanley Cup Prop Possibilities
Minnesota Over/Under 27.5 Shots on Goal
The Wild lack two of their top offensive performers, yet realize they have to start peppering the net more from different angles and try and generate rebound chances if they want to make this a series with Dallas. In this contest, I think they accomplish this.

 

Los Angeles Over/Under Shots 28.5 on Goal
The Kings have 54 total shots on San Jose and that has not worked. Oddsmakers are telling us Los Angeles will be more desperate and seek to find more weak spots in goalie Martin Jones and keep throwing the puck at him. Have to agree with the higher number and believe L.A. throws everything and the kitchen sink, making this an Over play.