Take Rising Red Wings Over Weak Jets As Your Wise NHL Pick

Swinging Johnson

Thursday, March 10, 2016 8:02 PM GMT

The Jets are in the basement of the Western Conference standings & the Red Wings have a three game losing streak. Let’s review the NHL odds to find the winning side for our picks tonight.

Jets Preview
The Jets have the dubious distinction of holding one of the worst records in the league and their recent spate of games is but a reflection of that season-long ineptitude. Over the course of their last six outings Winnipeg has won just one game and that came against a similarly downward spiraling Montreal Canadiens team that will most likely be on the outside looking in come playoff time. Winnipeg ranks in the bottom third of all the major categories (goals scored, goals against, power play percentage and penalty killing efficiency) and only 22-year-old Mark Scheifele has notched more than 20 goals on the season.

In their last outing the Jets were outshot by the Nashville Predators 31-23 and outscored 4-2. Drew Stafford (17) and Jacob Trouba (6) tallied for Winnipeg while Ondrej Pavelec turned aside 27 of 31 shots in the loss. Pavelec returned from injury which necessitated the demotion of Connor Hellebuyck back in February who performed admirably in his stead and now shoulders the bulk of the goaltending chores with Michael Hutchinson in relief. 

 

Red Wings Summary
Detroit garnered 100 points in last year’s regular season but was summarily dispatched in the opening round by the eventual Stanley Cup runner-ups the Lightning. That series was no picnic for the Lightning as the Red Wings hung tough but bowed in seven grueling games. With that as the backdrop, expectations were high for the club entering this season but as the Wings stand as of this morning they have 75 points with 16 games left on the docket.

Therefore if their current win/tie percentage stays the same they will fall shy of that number by about five points but will again be in the postseason. However, their recent turn of events suggests otherwise as Detroit has dropped their last three contests getting outscored 14-6 in back-to-back losses to the Blackhawks and in their most recent loss to the Blue Jackets. Detroit will return home tonight after their defeat in Columbus where they have not exactly thrived this season. As anyone knows who has included the Wings in their NHL picks when they take the ice at Joe Louis Arena it has not been a winning proposition. Detroit stands at 16-17 at home with a return of -7.2 units due to all that juice one must lay that the NHL odds makers demand.

 

Betting Analysis
Many will shy away from laying the considerable lumber on Detroit due to their lack of success at home this season but I say stay the course. Detroit has had a brutal schedule recently with eight of their last 10 games being played on the highway. They will undoubtedly be comforted by the fact that their next three games are at home including this matchup with the woeful Jets tonight.

There is no doubt Winnipeg has had success against the Red Wings recently as they have won four of their last five matchups regardless of venue. This season the teams have met only once with the Jets notching a 4-1 win in Winnipeg back in December. But now the Jets appear to have given up the ship losing nine of their last 11 games. Detroit has the edge on the blue line and between the pipes; this reflects in the betting lines for the upcoming game.

Petr Mrazek is Detroit’s confirmed starter tonight and has outplayed his colleague Jimmy Howard this season. Mrazek will also be champing at the bit to atone for his lackluster effort against the Blackhawks on Sunday when he was pulled in the first period after allowing two goals on five shots. Redemption is nigh for both the Blackhawks and Mrazek.

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Free NHL Pick: Detroit -178
Best Line Offered: at BetOnline