Take Pavelec & the Ducks With Your NHL Picks Over Jets in Game II

David Lawrence

Friday, April 17, 2015 12:16 PM GMT

The Winnipeg Jets had a 2-1 lead entering the third period of Game 1 versus the Anaheim Ducks but ended up blowing it. Can they play better in Game 2 and even up this series even though they are underdogs on the NHL betting lines?

The Winnipeg Jets Can Win Because…
They had control of Game 1 and now know what it takes to win Game 2, so keep this in mind when looking at the NHL betting odds. The Jets had a horrible start to Game 1 as they allowed the first goal less than two minutes in the game. However, they kept their composure and still outplayed the Ducks through 40 minutes, holding a 2-1 lead going into the third. Ondrej Pavelec was playing well, the Jets were keeping the Ducks stars in check and everything was going well. What went wrong for Winnipeg in the third period was penalties. With the game on the line, they gave the Ducks three power plays and they cashed on two of them. And while the Jets had a power play of their own, not only did they fail to score, they let the Ducks score a shorthanded goal.

Pavelec did give up four goals in Game 1 but it’s not as bad as it looks. The first goal was a fluke and the other three came on special teams. If the Jets special teams can improve in Game 2, they should have a much better chance of competing.

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The Anaheim Ducks Can Win Because…
They didn’t play their best hockey and they still won. The bottom line for the Ducks is that they know their way through Pavelec, who had been the main reason why the Jets got to the playoffs. While he played well in net down the stretch, he’s never had a strong track record against the Ducks and it showed again in Game 1. Any way you slice it, he still gave up four goals on 33 shots in Game 1. Meanwhile, the Jets had a tough time with Frederik Andersen, getting just two goals by him while failing to score on all three power plays.

The difference between the teams here is the Ducks have superstars and the Jets really don’t. We saw the value of that in Game 1 as Corey Perry had four points (two goals, two assists) and Ryan Getzlaf had three points. If the Ducks can find a way to be more effective in five-on-five, Game 2 won’t even as close as Game 1 was.

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Outlook
The line movement in Game 1 was completely off as the money poured in on the Jets. We’re seeing more of the same for Game 2 as the Ducks are a -143 favorite at SportsBetting. This is a matchup that suits them quite well and as long as Pavelec is starting, you can count on three or four goals from them. If that’s the case, it’s hard to see them losing. Take the Ducks with your NHL picks here.

NHL Pick: Ducks -143 at SportsBetting