Take Best-Kill-Rate Avalanche As Your NHL Pick Against Coyotes Tonight

Dana Lane

Monday, March 7, 2016 4:46 PM UTC

Monday, Mar. 7, 2016 4:46 PM UTC

The Coyotes are playing out the string while checking their younger talent. They play the Avalanche who clinge to playoff lives falling short if the season ended today according to NHL odds boards. 

The Coyotes Preview
Newly acquired, Mike Boedker, faces his former team with the Avalanche who need this game to stay within distance distance of the last wild card spot in the West. If Colorado doesn't win this one I would say it would be difficult to make the playoffs and if you can't beat the Coyotes then you really don't belong in them anyway. So let's see what they're made of. 

The Avs thought they had bolstered their blue line by trading for Boedker but it hasn't worked out yet, besides the real struggles were on defense and closing out games. Colorado dropped a 5-2 decision to Nashville, Saturday, but held a 2-1 before letting it get out of hand in the third. 

In the other small move made by the 'Yotes, they traded for Sergei Plotnikov who was signed from the KHL in the offseason by Pittsburgh. Plotnikov has yet to register a point in three games with Arizona and is expected to return to Russia after the season. My guess is he is playing out the string and then will find a new home as he is a restricted free agent. In the meantime, he can't be offering much to the Coyotes besides a big body.


The Avalanche Sneak Peak
We know that Avalanche goaltender, Semyon Varlamov, has been pulled in two of his last five starts but that doesn't mean I have any more confidence in Coyotes netminder, Louis Domingue, who before his last start had a 4.04 goals against average in his previous six starts. He hadn't posted a save percentage over .900 since February 23rd, a span of three starts, driving his numbers to a 2.75 goals against average with a .911 save percentage. Not good enough for my money to support. It will be interesting to see how Varlamov reacts to the Avs naming Calvin Pickard their number one goaltender. 

Colorado is a solid team, which is reflected in the NHL odds boards, to back after getting beat soundly in their previous game. In their last 27 games, following a loss of three goals or more, the Avalanche are 20-7 and 12-4 the game after they allowed five goals or more. 
The Coyotes inability to win a road game after dropping their last eight makes it very easy to like Colorado. During those eight games Arizona is a horrible 3 for 29 on the man advantage while Colorado has killed 26 of their last 27 penalties since February 14th, the best kill rate in the league in that span. Their success comes from their willingness to block shots and prevent the cross-seam pass when down a man. 

Arizona is playing tonight on one day's rest which is never the best scenario for them. In their last 67 games after just one day's rest they are just 22-45 and are just 2-8 in their last 10 vs the Western Conference.


Final Analysis
My guess is that, if you are familiarized with the betting trends, it is for sure that you'll be getting the best from Colorado and Boedker in an effort to win a game that should end up in victory for their team. We are backing the Avalanche in this one; check the NHL picks to check the rankings.

If you're thinking about betting the total the 'under' is 9-3 at Colorado in this series in their last 12 games. 

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Free NHL Pick: Colorado Avalanche 5.5 (-110)
Best Line Offered: at 5Dimes

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