Struggling Offenses Prompt Our NHL Picks On Blues vs. Red Wings To Go 'Under'

Bruce Webster

Wednesday, January 20, 2016 3:22 PM GMT

The St. Louis Blues travel to visit the Detroit Red Wings on Wednesday night at the Joe Louis Arena. Join us as we preview this matchup and provide the best NHL picks for the night.

St Louis Blues vs. Detroit Red Wings
Lines: Detroit -117/ St Louis +106
Total: 5
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Free NHl Pick: Under 5
Best Line Offered: at Bovada

 

The NHL odds are out for tonight's game as the St Louis Blues (27-15-5-2 SU, 19-30 PL, 18-24-7 OU) come in off a 5-2 romp over the Pittsburgh Penguins and they have now won four of their last five games, while the Detroit Red Wings (23-14-5-3SU, 17-28 PL, 15-21-9 OU) enter off a 2-1 loss to Philadelphia at home, but they have still won five of their last seven games. The road team has won seven of the last eight in the series.

 

Stastny Leads Blues Past Penguins
The St Louis Blues seemed to have turned things around of late as they have now won four of their last five games after they had lost five games in a row. On Tuesday night they took out the Penguins by a 5-2 scored and were led by Paul Stastny, who scored once and had three assists in the one. The goal was his 5th of the year. Also scoring was Alexander Steen (14th), Troy Brouwer (9th), Kevin Shattenkirk (9th) and Vladimir Tarasenko, whose 25th goal of the year leads the team and puts him in a tie for 4th in the league with Tyler Seguin. He has had a heck of a year for the Blues so far.

Taking the win in the game was Brian Elliott, who continues to get more playing time due to the injury to Jake Allen. Elliott has now won four of his last five starts, but he is still just 9-9 on the year with a 2.39 GAA. He should get the start here as well and is also 4-5 with a 2.39 GAA on the road, while vs the Red Wings in his career he is 3-8 with a 2.52 GAA. The Blues check in at 19th in the league in scoring, putting up 2.5 gpg and 8th in power play conversions, converting on 20.4% of their chances. On defense this has been a decent squad that is 11th in goals allowed, giving up 2.5 gpg, while allowing teams to convert on just 14.2% of their power play chances, which is 3rd.

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Red Wings Stymied by Neuvirth At Home
The Detroit Red Wings have been playing very well of late, but they ran into a hot Philadelphia team on Sunday and ended up losing 2-1 in a shootout. The Red Wings just couldn’t get much past Michal Neuvirth, despite getting off 30 shots in the game. Scoring the lone goal for Detroit was Niklas Kronwall, whose goal put Detroit up 1-0 in the game. It was his 3rd goal of the year. Despite playing good hockey of late, the Red Wings have struggled to score as they have averaged just 1.9 gpg in their last 10 games. For the year the Red Wings rank just 21st in scoring, putting up 2.4 gpg, and 18th in power play conversions at 17.7%.

Taking the loss vs the Flyers was Petr Mrazek, which was his first loss in his last six starts. Mrazek has allowed a total of five goals in his last five starts and has been a solid goalie for Detroit all year. He is now 16-12 with a 2.10 GAA for the year, including 6-8 with a 2.20 GAA at home, while vs the Blues in his career he has gone 3-0 with a 1.12 GAA. The Red Wings have been a decent team at the defensive end of the ice this year as they come in ranked 12th in goals allowed, giving up 2.5 gpg, while allowing teams to convert on 20.4% of their power play chances, which is 21st in the league.

 

Trends for St. Louis:
The Under is 4-1-2 in their last seven vs. Atlantic
The Under is 6-0 in their last six vs. a team with a winning record

 

Trends for Detroit:
The Under is 18-8-7 in their last 33 after scoring two goals or less in their previous game
The Under is 31-14-6 in their last 51 games playing on two days rest

 

Betting Analysis
I see this as a low scoring game, especially since the Under is 5-1 the last six in the series. The Blues are not a good offensive team and the Red Wings have really struggled to score of late. In goal we have a couple of goalies that will be more than up to the task to keep theses struggling offenses at bay. Just three of Detroit’s last 10 games have seen more than five goals being scored and this one will see no more than four goals. We're adding the under to our NHL picks.

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