Steep NHL Odds Call for a Total Play in Ducks vs. Predators

David Lawrence

Tuesday, November 17, 2015 1:56 PM GMT

The Predators have struggled after a dominant start to the NHL season. Can we trust them for our NHL picks? Will they pull off two wins a row for the first time since October when they host the Ducks?

Momentum
The Predators have alternated wins and losses in each of their last six games, but they are coming off an impressive 7-0 win over the Winnipeg Jets to improve to 6-1-2 on home ice, and should feel confident heading into this matchup.

Meanwhile, the Ducks beat Nashville 4-2 on home ice on November 1st to snap a five-game losing skid, but they had lost three straight heading into Monday’s meeting with the Carolina Hurricanes and will be looking to turn the momentum on a four-game trip that continues on Tuesday night.

 

Projected Starting Goalies
Anton Khudobin started for Anaheim against the Hurricanes on Monday facing his former team. That means Andersen will be in net on Tuesday. Andersen has a 2.33 GAA and .924 save percentage through 13 starts, but the Ducks have provided virtually no goal support for him. They have scored just once in his last six outings, getting shut out five times.

Meanwhile, Pekka Rinne should be back between the pipes for the Predators after turning away all 20 shots he faced in a shutout win against the Jets on Saturday night. Rinne is 9-2-3 with a 2.11 GAA and .918 save percentage, and has allowed just one goal over his last 124:59 of action.

 

Outlook
Nashville ranks in the top-10 in both goals per game and goals allowed per game this season, and while they have struggled with consistency of late, they are still 10-3-3 on the season and have played their best hockey on home ice. The Predators own the ninth-ranked powerplay in the NHL and it will be very interesting to see how they match up against Anaheim’s league’s best penalty kill in this game. The Ducks have relied heavily on their defensive play and goaltending this year, but they rank 30th in the NHL in goals per game, and they won’t have an easy time scoring against Nashville, so they will need to be at their best in their own end. Anaheim scored three first-period goals and Andersen made 40 saves in a 4-2 win over the Predators at the beginning of the month, but Nashville had backup Carter Hutton in net for that one and he isn’t nearly as good as Rinne. It won’t help the Ducks that they will be playing less than 24 hours after clashing with Carolina – especially when you consider they had to fly to Nashville on Monday night.

Nashville makes sense here on the NHL odds as they probably win the game but I don’t want to lay this type of juice (in the neighborhood of -180). Instead, I’m going to go with the under for my NHL picks. A lot of the reasons have been mentioned already, but it’s also worth noting that Frederik Andersen rested Monday and is expected to start. The Ducks have scored just one goal in his last six starts. Take the under here.

Free NHL Pick: Under 5 at Bovada

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