Stats & Facts Project Penguins as the NHL Pick Over Stars

Ross Benjamin

Thursday, October 22, 2015 3:40 PM UTC

Thursday, Oct. 22, 2015 3:40 PM UTC

Our NHL handicapping professional examines Thursday’s game between the Stars & Penguins. Join us in reading this compelling betting preview article culminated with a NHL pick.

Stars in “The Steel City”
The Penguins and Stars meet on Thursday in a premier non-conference matchup. The opening faceoff at the Consol Energy Center in Pittsburgh is slated for 7:05 PM ET. NHL odds at 5Dimes indicates that Pittsburgh is a -135 money line favorite, and the posted total is 5.5. These teams opened the season against each other in Dallas, and the Stars came away with a 3-0 win. Dallas won both encounters with Pittsburgh a season ago by scores of 2-1 and 3-2.


Stars Out and Shining
Dallas is off to a stellar 5-1 start to this 2015-2016 NHL campaign, and is currently riding a four game winning streak. Today will be the finale of a four game in eight day road trip for Dallas, and they’ve outscored opponents by a cumulative margin of 10-6 in the first three games. Antti Niemi is expected to be in goal in today’s game for the Stars. Niemi stopped all 37 Penguins shots on goal during a 3-0 opening night win. He’s currently 2-1 with a .930 save percentage.


Fleury holds down the Fort
Pittsburgh has inexplicably struggled to score goals during their early part of the schedule. The Penguins have scored 2 goals or less in regulation time during each of their first six games. It cost them dearly during a dismal 0-3 start to the year, but they’ve bounced back to win their last three games in a row. One aspect of Pittsburgh’s game that’s been consistent above all the rest is their goaltending, and specifically Marc-Andre Fleury. The #1 goaltender of the Penguins has started all six games, and compiled a brilliant .937 save percentage with one shutout. It’s just a matter of time before this supremely talented offensive team finds its scoring touch, and they can have overwhelming confidence in Fleury to hold down the fort until that transpires.


Money Line Betting Angle
Pittsburgh has won each of their previous two games, and both were decided in overtime. The Penguins are allowing an average of just 1.8 goals per game so far this season. The sets up a very profitable money line betting angle that I’ll utilize when making one of my NHL picks.

Any home team that’s -100 to -150 on the money line, coming off back to back overtime wins, and is allowing an average of 2.4 goals or less per game, resulted in that home team going 47-12 (79.7%) during the past five seasons.

NHL Pick: Penguins -135 at 5Dimes

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