Stars Will Shine Bright Against the Canadiens

Dana Lane

Tuesday, November 21, 2017 6:36 PM UTC

Tuesday, Nov. 21, 2017 6:36 PM UTC

Former teammates renew acquaintances Tuesday when the Montreal Canadiens travel to the Lone Star State to take on the Dallas Stars at the American Airlines Center; puck drops at 8:30 p.m. ET.

Free NHL Pick: Stars -143Best Line Offered: BetOnline

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Montreal Canadiens at Dallas Stars

After getting beat by the Toronto Maple Leafs, 6-0, on Saturday, it’s tough to get a handle on where Montreal’s mindset is coming into this one. The Canadiens, who have lost three straight and four of five, can’t be where we prefer our teams to be when giving them our financial backing. The reality is, the pressure of playing in Montreal becomes too much causing players to start to want out. The culture of this organization is wallowing in mediocrity and that’s being generous. The biggest game of their season, on national television against the rival Leafs, and they get dropped by six goals. The team was given Monday off while Claude Julien desperately tried to find a solution.

I’ve written it many times here that mostly every wager I make is because I feel as if I have an edge on special teams because I don’t want to get burned by having the right side but two power play goals burn me. With a 14.9% success rate, I don’t think I’ll have to worry about getting beat by the Habs, the NHL’s 30th-ranked team, from that perspective. In fact, we have a real advantage with our wager with the Dallas Stars one of the best in the league with the man advantage (27.4%/2nd) against Julien’s team that is almost as bad killing off man advantages (75.7%/28th).

If Montreal comes close to the six penalties it earned against Toronto, it will lose handily. The Canadiens average almost four minor penalties a game, and it’s reasonable to anticipate more against one of the faster teams in the league. After all, when a player gets beat cleanly down low or it the corners it’s embarrassing so defenders try to quickly make up for their embarrassment by using their sticks to make up the ground often resulting in a trip, slash or hook. That’s why when a team has a speed advantage it’s such a decision-maker when betting.

The players on both sides know where the strengths and weaknesses lie. Speed gives teams an aggression edge. Montreal knows it can’t win this game if it spends too much time in the penalty box and Dallas knows creating penalties could put this game away early.

Dallas' Alexander Radulov faces his old team. These guys seem to always have extra motivation to put a dagger in their former team. Watch that Stars top line of Radulov, Jamie Benn and Mattias Janmark because it will be productive line in this one. From a trend perspective, the Habs are just 9-22 against the Central Division, while the Stars have won seven of their last eight games and I see very little reason why that trend won’t continue tonight.

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