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Stars vs. Golden Knights Prediction, Picks & Player Props for Tonight's NHL Game

Gary Pearson

Last Updated: January 28, 2025 7:22 AM EST • 2 min 23 sec read.

Vegas Golden Knights right wing Mark Stone reacts after scoring against the St. Louis Blues as we offer our Stars vs. Golden Knights predictions, picks, and player props.
Pictured: Vegas Golden Knights right wing Mark Stone reacts after scoring against the St. Louis Blues. Photo by Jeff Curry via Imagn Images

The Dallas Stars and Vegas Golden Knights clash for the second time in less than a week when they meet on Tuesday (10 p.m. ET, ESPN+).

There will be two main differences. The first is the venue, which is certain: T-Mobile Arena in Sin City. The second is the total number of goals. I veered down the Over/Under track on Friday, opting for Under 5.5. It didn't pay off, as the Stars won 4-3. 

I'm going back to the well with my Stars vs. Golden Knights prediction and picks for this one, expecting goals to be at a premium. 

Stars vs. Golden Knights predictions today

NHL odds via our best NHL betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale.

  • Game pick: Under 5.5 goals (+110 via Betway) ⭐⭐⭐
  • Mark Stone prop pick: Over 0.5 assists (-134 via Betway) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

My best Stars vs. Golden Knights pick

Under 5.5 goals ⭐⭐⭐

On Friday, a four-goal explosion in the second period at American Airlines Center scuppered any hope of the Under. But there's ample reason to believe this one between the Stanley Cup odds favorites will be different. 

Eight of the last 10 Stars' games had five goals or fewer, with the only exceptions coming against Vegas and Colorado on the road. Eight of their previous 12 in enemy rinks also hit the Under, providing more reason to pull the trigger. Dallas allows the fifth-fewest goals on the road (2.70) and the third-fewest overall (2.45). 

Their first meeting of the season also occurred in Las Vegas, where the Under hit and the Golden Knights prevailed. 

Golden Knights' superior defensive armor at home 

The Golden Knights' defense is markedly superior on home ice, where they are tied for allowing the fifth-fewest goals per contest (2.38). Compare that top-five unit to their 18th-ranked defense on the road, where they allow 3.13 per game. 

Eight of the previous 10 games at T-Mobile Arena had five or fewer goals, including five of the last six. I expect having the last line change will benefit the Golden Knights, who should be way more detail-oriented than they were in Dallas last week. 

A winning $10 bet will profit $11. 

Best odds: +110 via Betway | Implied probability: 47.62%

Best Stars vs. Golden Knights player prop pick

NHL picks made Tuesday; odds subject to change.

Mark Stone prop pick: Over 0.5 assists ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Stone comes to life against the Stars, particularly regarding the helpers he provides for teammates. He has 31 assists in 36 games, the third-most on the team. Only Jack Eichel's 0.96 assists per game eclipse Stone's .86. The Golden Knights' captain had three helpers in Dallas on Jan. 24, making it four assists in the last three games. 

Stone has 19 assists in 20 contests against the Stars, including 12 in the previous 10. He failed to notch a helper in only one of those games. A winning $10 bet will profit $7.46. 

Best odds: -134 via Betway | Implied probability: 57.26%

Stars vs. Golden Knights odds

Odds via Betway.

MarketStarsGolden Knights
Moneyline+100-120
Puck line+1.5 (-275)-1.5 (+185)
Over/UnderOver 5.5 (-130)Under 5.5 (+110)

Stars vs. Golden Knights injuries

Stars vs. Golden Knights live odds & info

  • When: Tuesday, Jan. 28
  • Puck drop: 10 p.m. ET
  • Where: T-Mobile Arena (Las Vegas)
  • How to watch: ESPN+
  • Favorite: Golden Knights (-120 via Betway)

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Written By:
Gary Pearson
Gary Pearson has written professionally since 2010, focusing on sports betting since 2014. Before entering the sports betting space, he contributed to the Canadian Press, FanSided, the Hockey Writers, the Calgary Herald, and other publications. His work has also been featured in Sports Illustrated and Bleacher Report. Gary, who consumes sports like a blue whale devours plankton, has a penchant for writing predictions and analyses across several sports, including hockey, soccer, football, tennis, and more. He bets regularly, preferring single-game picks, props, and live betting. While there isn't a sport he has yet to dabble in, Gary prefers betting on soccer, hockey, and football. He studied at various post-secondary institutions, including the University of Calgary, SAIT Polytechnic, and Griffith University, located in Brisbane, Australia. Gary has a marketing degree and completed his bachelor's degree in journalism at Griffith University. He feels strongly that life experience is as essential as post-secondary education, helping formulate more accurate predictions and analyses. Gary believes that competing at a high level of amateur sports during his formative years helped him better understand an athlete's psyche and the nuances and complexities of a team's dynamic, both on and off the playing surface. He feels that knowledge is immeasurably important when offering his analytical expertise. He has lived on five continents and currently resides in Canada.