Stanley Cup Playoffs Pick: Flyers vs. Caps Value Bet On Total

Ross Benjamin

Saturday, April 16, 2016 2:00 PM UTC

Saturday, Apr. 16, 2016 2:00 PM UTC

Join us as we break down Saturday’s Philadelphia vs. Washington Stanley Cup Playoff game. Go inside before making any of your NHL picks today to increase wour chances for a profit.

Stanley Cup Playoffs Record: 36-20-0 (64.3%) (+1777 Units)

Betting Preview for Game 2 of Philadelphia/Washington Series
The Flyers and Capitals resume their Eastern Conference Quarterfinal series on Saturday at the Verizon Center in Washington. The Capitals took the series opener on Thursday with a 2-0 win. Game 1 easily went under the total of 5.0, and these Metropolitan Division rivals have now gone 6-2-1 under during their last nine meetings. Current NHL odds have Washington as a mammoth -212 money line favorite, and the posted total is 5.


Game One Recap and More
Although Washington’s Braden Holtby faced only 19 shots on goal, he was rock solid nonetheless by turning each one of those scoring chances. Holtby has now allowed 2 goals or less in ten of his last 13 Stanley Cup Playoffs starts. Holtby is 50-17 during his 67 starts this season with a stellar .923 save percentage, and that includes 27-7 at the Verizon Center.

Washington’s power play was lethal this season, but that’s certainly not been the case of late. During its last five games, Washington has gone a dismal 1-for-16 with their man advantage opportunities. Conversely, their penalty killing has been off the charts good recently. The Capitals have killed off 21 consecutive power play chances against them. By virtue of their win on Thursday, Washington has allowed only a combined 3 goals during their previous three games.

Despite their Game 1 defeat, Steve Mason was terrific by turning away 29 of 31 shots on goal by Washington, and gave his team every opportunity to steal one on the road. The Flyers penalty killing has been sensational over the past five games, limiting their opponents during that period to a mere 11.8% conversion rate on its power play chances. In five games against Washington this season, Philadelphia has gone a poor 3-for-21 (14.3%) on the power play. The Flyers are 8-2 under the total during this 2015-2016 NHL campaign when facing an opponent with a +0.5 or better goal per game differential. Washington is currently at +0.8 goal per game differential heading into Saturday. The Flyers have allowed only a combined 5 goals over its last three outings.


Final Take and Pick
Philadelphia knows it can ill afford to get into a wide open style type of game against the #2 scoring team (Capitals) in the NHL. They’ll also be without the services of their #2 center Sean Coruturier due to a shoulder injury sustained in Game 1 courtesy of a hit by Alex Ovechkin. In addition to the Capitals only allowing 19 shots on goal in Game 1, they blocked an additional 23 shot attempts by Philadelphia as well. I like this to be a low scoring game, and one of my Saturday NHL picks will be reflective of that prediction.

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NHL Pick:  Flyers Under 5 -105
Best Line Offered: at BetOnline

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