Sharks vs. Kings Total Odds Will Make Great NHL Picks Tonight

Dana Lane

Saturday, April 16, 2016 5:00 PM UTC

Saturday, Apr. 16, 2016 5:00 PM UTC

The Los Angeles Kings must play a more physical, disciplined style to find success in game two, but are they up for the challenge? Here's our NHL Pick on the game to respond to that question.

Last Night we were 3-2 with a huge plus money victory with Nashville. 

At times in game one I didn't recognize the Los Angeles Kings as they displayed a reckless, undisciplined style that was not the hallmark of their season long success. Every time the Kings would score to finally end the Sharks hopes San Jose would quickly bounce back quickly remind Los Angeles why they are ranked slightly above the Kings in my latest power rankings. 

From a betting perspective I would expect Daryl Sutter's team to be well prepared and that's why I'm going to focus on the 'under' with a lean towards Los Angeles in the first period.  Despite the Sharks road success they have been at their worst in the first period. Even with a Sharks victory I don't expect this to be a easy series especially with the Sharks having to go back home.  Sounds strange but with the Sharks 18-20-3 home record this match-up will be far from over no matter the outcome tonight. 

Look for the Kings to make a big push to limit the Sharks power play opportunities.  In game one San Jose received four man advantages scoring once.  The bigger picture is when you are killing off a disadvantage you are taking minutes off the clock that you could use in the offensive zone.  Most games are decided by the team that wins the special teams battle and wins the majority of faceoffs.  It's a simple time of possession handicapping tool. The Kings will not win this series if they continuously lose the special battle to the leagues third ranked power play team. 

Los Angeles is second in the NHL allowing only 25 shots per game and despite having to kill off four power plays the Sharks were limited to just 23 shots in game one.  San Jose followed that up with allowing just 24. Game one went over the total but the numbers indicate that this was an 'under'. 

In addition San Jose has allowed an average of two goals per game in their last five. 

We can also point to shot percentage to make a case for the Kings early.  The Sharks are only finding 7.8% of their shots finding the back of the net while Los Angeles is souring at 17.4% and 13.2% in their last five. 

You will be getting some plus money on the total's NHL Odds mostly because people don't trust the Kings without Alec Martinez in the line-up. Martinez left game one after blocking a shot in the second period and didn't return for the third. To take his spot Los Angeles has recalled Kevin Gravel from Ontario of the American Hockey League. 

This what I'm doing here.  We are going to grab the 'under' 5 with the generous plus money and hope it doesn't land right on the number, and we're going to grab the Kings in the first period at -130 as our NHL Picks for tonight.  Look for a 1-0 Kings lead in the first period leading us down the path to win both plays.

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NHL Pick:  Kings Under 5 +110
Best Line Offered:  at Bovada

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