Sharks vs. Flames: Recent Total Trends Prompt 'Over' As Our NHL Pick

Bruce Webster

Monday, January 11, 2016 1:52 PM GMT

Monday, Jan. 11, 2016 1:52 PM GMT

The San Jose Sharks come in off a 7-0 rout of the Toronto Maple Leafs, while the Calgary Flames come in off a 2-1 home loss to Arizona, who will be our free NHL pick for tonight?

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NHL Pick: Over 5.5 (+120)
Best Line Offered: at Heritage

 

Sharks Chew Up and Spit out the Maple Leafs
The San Jose Sharks have not been playing great hockey this year, but they come in off a 7-0 rout of the Toronto Maple Leafs. It really was a big confidence building game for the Sharks. Leading the charge for the Sharks was Tomas Hertl, who scored his 5th and 6th goals of the year in the win. Joe Pavelski also scored in the win, which was his team leading 21st of the year. Pavelski and Hertl also had assists in the game as well, while Just Braun had three assists, Joe Thornton had two and Marc-Edouard Vlasic had two assists also.

Martin Jones had a solid game in goal as he stopped 28 shots for his 4th shutout of the season. He is now 17-15 on the year with a 2.42 GAA. He is slated to get the start here as well and is also 12-5 with a 2.22 GAA on the road, while vs the Flames in his career he has gone 2-1 with a 2.93 GAA. The Sharks have been a good offensive team this year as they come in at 8th in scoring, putting up 2.8 gpg, while converting on 20.6% of their power play chances, which is 7th in the league. On defense is where they have had some issues as they are 23rd in goals allowed, giving p 2.8 gpg, while ranking 10th in penalty kill (81.8%).

 

Flames Struggle Offensively in Loss to Arizona
The Calgary Flames have been an average offensive team this year overall, but they were below average in their loss to the Coyotes at home. Actually they have now scored just nine total goals in their last five games, following the 2-1 loss to the Coyotes. Scoring the lone goal was Johnny Gaudreau, which was his team leading 18th goal of the year. He also leads the team in points with 40. As a team this year the Flames check in at 15th in scoring, putting up 2.6 gpg, but they have converted on just 12.7% of their power play chances, which is dead last in the league.

Taking the loss for the Flames was Karri Ramo, who did have a decent game as he stopped 31 shots by the Coyotes. Ramo is Ramo should get the start here as well and he is now 15-14 with a 2.52 GAA on the year overall, including 10-5 with a 2.40 GAA at home, while vs the Sharks he is 4-4 with a 2.75 GAA in his career. The Flames have had many issues at the defensive end of the ice as the come in at 29th in goals allowed, giving up 3.1 gpg on the year, while allowing teams to convert on 25.8% of their power play chances, which is last in the league. Special teams have been a big issue for the Flames, at both ends of the ice. Let's check the latest trends and NHL Odds first.

 

San Jose Trends
The Over is 6-0-1 in their last seven games following a win
The Over is 20-8-2 in their last 30 overall

Calgary Trends
The Over is 5-0 in their last five games playing on three or more days rest
The Over is 21-5-2 in their last 28 home games vs. a team with a road winning percentage of greater than .600

 

Betting Analysis
The Sharks have been a solid offensive team this year and they will take aim at one of the worst defensive teams in the league. San Jose has averaged 3.0 gpg on the road, while the Flames are 29th in goals allowed this year and have allowed 2.95 gpg at home. San Jose has allowed 2.69 gpg on the road, while the Flames have put up 2.86 gpg at home. Both teams lack consistent play in the crease and both offenses will take advantage of that here. Take Over as the sharp NHL pick tonight.

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