Senators vs. Canadiens: Inconsistency Suggests 'Under' as Wise NHL Pick

David Lawrence

Tuesday, November 3, 2015 1:12 PM GMT

The Canadiens got the season back on track with a pair of lopsided wins. Will they be able to extend their streak against the rival Ottawa Senators? Review the NHL odds with us for a free NHL pick.

Momentum
Montreal opened the season with a record-nine straight regulation wins before finally stumbling in back-to-back losses to the Vancouver Canucks and Edmonton Oilers. Those were a couple of costly losses on the NHL odds. However, they got back on track with wins over Calgary and Winnipeg in which they outscored their opponents 11-3. The Canadiens are still undefeated on home ice this season at 5-0 and will have plenty of momentum behind them heading in to this showdown with their division rivals.

Meanwhile, consistency has been a major issue for an Ottawa team that has not been able to string together more than two wins in a row. The Senators have won just two of their last seven games overall but they have actually played better on the road than at home early on this season and should be motivated against Montreal.

 

Projected Starting Goalies
Carey Price is set to miss a week with a lower-body injury and while the Canadiens will likely give Dustin Tokarski a start eventually, they will likely continue to roll with the hot hand in Mike Condon on Tuesday night. Condon is 4-0-0 with a 1.50 GAA and .944 save percentage in four starts this season including a 20-save performance in a 3-1 win over Ottawa on October 11th.

Meanwhile, the Senators could turn back to Andrew Hammond after he turned away 29 of the 30 shots he faced in a 3-1 win over the Detroit Red Wings in his latest start. Craig Anderson has struggled early on, so it won’t be a surprise if Ottawa gives Hammond another chance to try and steal a win for them on Tuesday night.

 

Outlook
The Senators have struggled with consistency early on. While it would be easy to blame their goaltenders for their relatively mediocre play, the reality is that the team has had far too many lapses in front of Anderson and Hammond, and that is the biggest reason for their slow start. It isn’t about to get any easier for Ottawa on Tuesday night with Montreal firing on all cylinders, as all four lines have contributed in their most recent wins. The secondary scoring that the Canadiens have received from players like Dale Wiese, Torrey Mitchell, Tomas Fleischmann and David Desharnais has helped lessen the burden on the top line of Max Pacioretty, Tomas Plekanec and Brendan Gallagher, while making Montreal that much more difficult to defend. The Habs rank second in the NHL with an average of 3.8 goals per game and while their 5-on-5 play has been excellent, they also rank in the top-six in both powerplay and penalty kill percentages.

Montreal will have plenty of confidence and momentum on their side heading into this game, but the NHL odds are a bit high here. Price plays relatively well against Ottawa with a lifetime .919 save percentage and 2.39 GAA. Four of the last six meetings have seen five goals or less, and we’ll bank on that happening again here for our NHL picks.

Free NHL Pick: Under 5.5 at The Greek

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":2861472, "sportsbooksIds":[1096,19,93,92,238,349], "LineTypeId":3, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]

***Looking for more picks for Tuesday night's games? Don't miss Dallas Stars vs. Boston Bruins***