Red Wings vs. Devils: Solid Goaltenders Make 'Under' Our NHL Pick

Bruce Webster

Monday, January 4, 2016 11:55 AM GMT

The Detroit Red Wings come in off a hard fought 4-3 win over the Buffalo Sabres, while the New Jersey Devils have now won three games in a row, who will be our NHL pick tonight?

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NHL Pick: Under 5
Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle

 

Tatar’s Late Goal Lifts Red Wings over Sabres
The Detroit Red Wings jumped out to a 2-0 lead on Buffalo, before the Sabres tied it on a pair of Jack Eichel goals in the 2nd period. The Red Wings then took a 3-2 lead early in the 3rd period. Buffalo then tied the game six and a half minutes late, before Tomas Tatar scored with just 2:50 left in the game to seal the deal for the Red Wings. Tatar’s goal was his 12th of the season and it helped the Red Wings snap a three game losing streak. Brad Richards (4th), Riley Sheahan (6th) and Henrik Zetterberg (7th) all scored in the win as well.

Petr Mrazek came up with the win in the game, as he stopped 32 shots to move his record to 12-11 with a 2.34 GAA on the year. He had gone six games without allowing more than two goals in a game, but he has now allowed seven goals in his last two starts. Mrazek should get the start in this game and is 5-4 with a 2.33 GAA on the road, while vs the Devils he is 1-1 with a 2.75 GAA in his career. The Red Wings come in at 19th in the league in scoring, putting up just 2.5 gpg, while converting on 18.3% of their power play chances, which is 21st. On defense they check in at 17th in goals allowed, giving up 2.7 gpg, while ranking 20th in penalty kill at 79.1%. 

 

Devils Take Down Stars in OT
The New Jersey Devils have been playing well of late and now they have pushed their winning streak to three games following their 3-2 OT win over the Stars on Saturday night. New Jersey took a 2-0 in the second period on goals by Kyle Palmieri, which was his team leading 17th of the year and Bobby Farnham, who notched his 5th of the year, on to see Dallas fight back and tie the game with 5:31 left in regulation. John Moore then stepped up for the Devils by scoring the game winner just 1:27 into the extra session. It was his 3rd of the year and it did come on the power play. This was really a confidence building win for the Devils as they did take down the team with the most points in the NHL.

Grabbing the win in the game was Cory Schneider, who continues to play well for the Devils. Schneider is now 17-15 on the year with a very solid 2.10 GAA. He should get the start in this game as well and is 6-9 with a 2.17 GAA at home, while vs the Red Wings he is just 3-6 with a 3.20 GAA in his career. The Devils check in at 27th in the league in scoring, putting up just 2.3 gpg, but they have been a solid group on the power play where they are 11th. On defense is where they really shine as they come in ranked 4th in goals allowed, giving up just 2.3 gpg and 8th in penalty kill (83.2%).  Let's check the NHL odds & the recent trends

 

Trends
Detroit is:

The Under is 30-14-8 in their last 52 vs. a team with a winning record

New Jersey is:

The Under is 34-11-14 in their last 59 home games

The 28-13-10 in their last 51 games following a win

 

Betting Analysis
I like the Under in this game as the NHL pick. Here we have a couple of solid goaltenders taking on a couple of offenses that just aren’t clicking and that is always a good mix for a low scoring game. The Devils do have one of the worst offenses in the league, but they also have one of the more steady goalies in the league in Schneider and New Jersey home game are usually low scoring. Detroit will struggle to score in this game and so will the Devils, which should mean no more than four goals scored in this one.