Our resident NHL handicapper looks inside the numbers in today’s game between St. Louis and Winnipeg. Join us in reading this revealing betting preview article which concludes with a money line selection.
Play the Blues in Winnipeg
The Winnipeg Jets will play host to the St. Louis Blues on Thursday at 8:05 PM ET. According to the NHL odds at Bovada, St. Louis is a -125 money line favorite, and the posted total is 5.0. This will be the fourth meeting of the season between these Central Division rivals, and the Blues have won each of the first three. As a matter of fact, since 10/29/2013, St. Louis has beaten Winnipeg seven straight times.
Blues on Defensive Lockdown
The St. Louis Blues have posted shutouts in each of their previous two games, and held three of their previous four opponents scoreless. St. Louis has gone over the total in nine of ten games this season after allowing two goals or less in each of the previous two games. Those ten games have averaged 7.5 goals combined scored per contest. The Blues are 5-1 in their previous six games, and have won each of their previous three on the road.
Well Rested Jets
The Winnipeg Jets will be playing just their second game in last five days. The Jets have won each of their previous two games by scores of 2-1 at Tampa Bay, and also captured a 5-2 home victory over San Jose. Winnipeg has gone a very profitable 6-2 against the money line in their last eight games at home. Tonight’s probable starter in goal for Winnipeg is Ondrej Pavalec. He’s been red-hot in his last four starts, compiling a superb .949 save percentage in those contests.
NHL Money Line Betting Angle
The St. Louis Blues have won their last two games by scores of 3-0 and 4-0. Both of those wins came on the road. St. Louis enters tonight with a winning percentage of .643 for the season. Those recent results and the current win percentage of the Blues, creates an extremely profitable money line betting system that favors the home underdog Jets.
Any home team (Winnipeg) playing in the second half of the season, versus an opponent coming off two straight road wins by two goals or more, and they (Blues) have a winning percentage of between .600 to .700, has seen that home team go 25-8 (75.8%) against the money line since 1996. The home team possesses a large +1.3 goal per game differential in those thirty-three games. That’s compelling enough evidence for me to side with the home team as one of my NHL picks on Thursday.
NHL Pick: Play on Winnipeg +105 over St. Louis on the money line at Bodog