Recent Momentum & Betting Trends Favor Flyers' Puck-Line Over Hurricanes for NHL Picks

David Lawrence

Thursday, April 9, 2015 10:59 AM GMT

Thursday, Apr. 9, 2015 10:59 AM GMT

Neither the Carolina Hurricanes nor the Philadelphia Flyers are heading to the playoffs, which means that this matchup might get filed away as an irrelevant one among the 11-game card on Thursday. However, at a closer look, it appears there could be some NHL betting value with one of the sides.

The Carolina Hurricanes Can Win Because…
They just beat the Flyers last week. Yes, that game was in Carolina but the Hurricanes still took care of business with the 3-2 shootout win. And if you think that win was fluky or a coincidence of some sort, then think again. Carolina has won three of the four meetings this season and swept all four last season. That now makes it seven wins in the last eight meetings for the Hurricanes.

The issue seems to be goal scoring for the Flyers as they can’t find their way through. While they scored five goals when the Hurricanes started Anton Khudobin in the first meeting of the season, the Flyers have scored just four goals in the other three games versus Carolina when facing Cam Ward. Ward has a 1.30 GAA and a .944 save percentage in this three wins. Overall, the Flyers have just 18 goals in the last eight meetings between the teams with 10 of the goals coming in two contests.

It looks like the Hurricanes have the Flyers number, so keep that in mind before laying all the juice on this NHL betting odds.

 

The Philadelphia Flyers Can Win Because…
They’re playing well right now and the Hurricanes are not. Carolina basically tapped out when the calendar flipped to March. They were 24-37 at that point, which obviously isn’t good, but it shows a much better winning percentage than what they’ve done of late. Carolina has dropped 15 of their last 20 games and hasn’t even shown a pulse recently. They enter Thursday’s affair having lost five of six mostly because their goaltending has been horrid. The Canes have allowed 19 goals over their last five, which ranks them near the bottom of the league in that span.

As for the Flyers, they’ve shown some signs of life. They’ve won three of four and gone 4-0-2 in their last six games. Their offense has been on a roll as they’ve scored 15 in their last four.

The other key factor here is that the Flyers are at home. They’ve been a respectable home team all season long, going 23-16. It’s been the road where they’ve had issues.

As for the Canes, they are just 11- 29 in their road games and average 2.25 goals per game. That ranks them 25th in road goal scoring. That’ll be a problem on Thursday.

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Outlook
Although the Hurricanes have dominated this series, I’m willing to take a shot with the Flyers in this spot. However, I’ll lay the puck with my NHL picks and aim for a two-goal win. That protects me from blowing a lot of juice in case the Flyers decide to show up half asleep. However, all signs in terms of momentum point to the Flyers winning this game.

NHL Pick: Flyers -1.5 at Bodog

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