With both Nashville and St. Louis getting a few days rest, Champion Handicapper Dana Lane explains why the layoff spells offense in game one.
A tough couple of days without hockey but it gave us a chance to focus in on all four of the second round series. With three straight wins our postseason record has evened out at 5-5 but most important of all is the fact that we’re +2.87 for the postseason and just under 20 units for the year.
Nashville Predators vs St. Louis Blues
Tonight, the Nashville Predators visit division foe St. Louis Blues at the Scottrade Center to kick off their conference semi-final match-up. Game time is 8:00 ET/5:00 PT and can be seen on NBCSN, CBC, and TVAS.
A few trends stick out to support tonight’s selection.
The ‘over’ is 15-6-6 in the Predators last 27 games vs the Central while the Blues are starting a small trend of four of five ‘over’ when playing on three days rest or more.
With two of the best netminders left in the playoffs facing each other in this series, it would be easy to assume game one would be an ‘under’. The public has backed that up with 80% of all early tickets coming in ‘under’. I know it’s cliché’ but when it looks easy I take a hard look at the other side.
Let’s not forget that the Predators had very little trouble scoring goals against the Blackhawks. Their top line of Ryan Johansen, Viktor Arvidsson and Filip Forsberg combined for 5 goals and 12 assists with a +22. If you factor in Ryan Ellis, four Predators averaged over a point a game while the Blues had three.
I’m not sure if anyone took notice of how much speed the Predators had before the Chicago series, but it was on full display in round one along with their skill level.
The return of Paul Stastny will help the Blues who collected 13 goals in four games against Minnesota.
Game one will go ‘over’ five as both teams get reacquainted with each other in what should be a long series.