Play the 'Total' for Sabres vs. Flyers

Ross Benjamin

Sunday, April 6, 2014 1:57 PM UTC

Sunday, Apr. 6, 2014 1:57 PM UTC

Philadelphia hosts Buffalo on Sunday and our NHL betting odds expert has zeroed in on this game's total. Join him for his analysis and breakdown of this contest concluding with a NHL free pick.

Battle of Struggling Teams
The Flyers will host the Sabres on Sunday at the First Union Center in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania with the opening face-off slated for 7:35 PM ET. According to NHL betting odds the Flyers are a -290 money line home favorite and the posted total is 5.5. Philadelphia has won their last 5-games at home versus Buffalo, and 9 of their last 11 overall against the Sabres. These teams have seen just 4 of their last 22 meetings in Philadelphia go under the total.

Flyers Playing Themselves into Conundrum
Philadelphia enters tonight having lost their last 4, and 6 of their last 7-games. They're coming off a disappointing performance during a 5-2 road loss on Saturday afternoon at the hands of the Boston Bruins. The Flyers were outshot in the loss by a wide 42-26 margin. Despite the disparity in shots on goal, the game was deadlocked at 2-2 entering the 3rd period, and then the Bruins proceeded to score 3 unanswered goals to pull away for the win. The Flyers offense has been silent of late having scored just 2-goals combined over their last 3-games. Following tonight's game the Flyers will embark on a 3-game in 5-day road trip,and then will conclude their season at home versus the Carolina Hurricanes. The good news for the Flyers is that they're facing the worst team in the NHL tonight, and are 8-2 in their last 10-games when playing with no rest. The Flyers have gone under the total in 12 of their 15-games this season versus opponents that average 2.55 or less goals per game. The average combined total score in those 15 contests was 4.2.

Season Cant End Soon Enough
The Buffalo Sabres have been the clear cut worst team in the NHL since the opening day of the season. Buffalo enters tonight having lost 13 of their last 15-games overall. They've scored 2-goals or less in 13 of those 15-games. They're coming off a narrow 3-2 loss at Detroit on Friday. The Sabres have gone over the total in just 4 of their previous 17-games. They've also gone over the total in just 19 of their 75-games this season. The Sabres are last in the NHL averaging an anemic 1.8 goals per game. Buffalo is a miserable 8-30 versus the money on the road this season, and a futile 5-27 when playing their 4th game in the last 7-days.

Free Pick: Sabres/Flyers to go under the total of 5.5

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