Play the Blues on the Puck Line NHL Pick over Sabres

Ross Benjamin

Tuesday, November 11, 2014 1:54 PM GMT

Tuesday, Nov. 11, 2014 1:54 PM GMT

Will the Buffalo Sabres be able to make a game of it at St. Louis today? Our NHL handicapping expert provides us with an insightful betting preview on this game.

NHL Mismatch
The Blues will entertain the Sabres tonight at the Scottrade Center in St. Louis with a slated 8:05 PM ET start time. According to the NHL odds at Pinnacle, the Blues are a mammoth -390 money line favorite, and the posted total is 5.0. St. Louis is also -1.5 (-126) on the puck line and the Sabres are +1.5 (+114). The Blues won both of their games versus the Sabres last season.

 

Anemic and Futile
The most surprising thing regarding the Buffalo Sabres this season has been how they managed to win 3-games. Buffalo has scored a grand total of 18-goals combined during regulation time during their first 16-games of the year. Their -15.2 shots on goal per game differential is by far the worst in the entire NHL. The Sabres power play has gone an atrocious 2-for-50 (4.0%) to start the season. The listed probable starting goaltender for tonight is Michael Neuvirth, and he’s been one of the few bright spots for the Sabres. Neuvirth has compiled a superb .929 save percentage in 7-starts. This will be the Sabres 4th game in the last 7-days, and they’ve gone a pathetic 6-39 in that exact situation during the past 2-seasons.

Check out our expert's NHL Picks of the Day here.

Starting another Win Streak
The St. Louis Blues had their 7-game winning streak snapped in a 2-1 home loss to the Nashville Predators this past Saturday. This will be the 3rd of a 5-game in 10-day home stand for the Blues. They enter tonight having gone 9-5 against the money line, and are currently tied for 5th overall in the Western Conference standings. The Blues power play has been very efficient this season by going 12-for-49 (24.5%), and that includes 4-for-13 (30.8%) during the last 5-games. The Blues are slated to go with Brian Elliot in goal tonight. Elliot has gone 5-4 in his 9-starts this season with a very good .923 save percentage.

 

Final Analysis
The safest and best value you could’ve opted for when making your NHL picks this season, has been to go against the Sabres on the puck line. Buffalo has seen 9 of its 13-losses come by 2-goals or more, and that includes all of their 5-losses that have come on the road.

Free NHL Pick: Blues -1.5 (-126) at Pinnacle on the puck line

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