Place NHL Picks for Blackhawks vs. Maple Leafs Under 5.5

Ross Benjamin

Saturday, November 1, 2014 1:39 PM GMT

Saturday, Nov. 1, 2014 1:39 PM GMT

Ross Benjamin was a perfect 3-0 with his NHL picks at SBR on Friday with winners on Toronto, Detroit, and Anaheim. He focuses his skilled hockey handicapping on Chicago Blackhawks vs. Toronto Maple Leafs. 

Hockey Night in Canada
The Maple Leafs will play host to the Blackhawks tonight at the Air Canada Centre in Toronto with a scheduled start time of 7:05 PM ET. According to the NHL odds at Pinnacle, Chicago is a -150 money line favorite, and the posted total is 5.5. Tonight will be the first meeting of the year between these two members of “The Original 6.” They met twice last season with both clubs winning on home ice. Chicago has defeated Toronto in 8 of their last 9 encounters.

 

One Goal Losses Plaguing the Hawks
Chicago is 6-4 against the money line so far this season, and all 4 of those defeats have come by 1-goal. The Hawks have seen just 2 of their first 10-games this season go over the total, and that’s despite the fact they’re averaging a robust 38.1 shots on goal per contest. Cory Crawford is scheduled to start in goal tonight for Chicago, and he’s been very good in 4-starts by going 3-1 with a .926 save percentage. The penalty killing has been superb this season. Chicago has killed 29 of the 32 (90.6%) man power advantages by the opposition so far.

 

Leafs Playing Low
Toronto enters tonight having seen 6 of their previous 7-games stay under the total. They’ve now won 2 in a row after last night’s decisive 4-1 win at Columbus. Toronto has won 4 of their 5-games this season by 3-goals or more. The one thing that the Toronto coaching staff certainly wants to improve upon in their 5-5 start to the season is their play at home. They’ve gone a disappointing 2-4 at the Air Canada Centre.

 

Final Analysis
Toronto has allowed just 1-goal total in their previous 2-games. Chicago last played on Thursday, and was a 5-4 overtime winner at Ottawa. These results and statistics create an extremely profitable betting system which I can use for my NHL pick in this game. Any home team (Toronto) that’s allowed 2-goals or less in each of their previous 2-games, versus an opponent coming off a win in overtime, has seen 74 of those 123-contests (71.8%) stay under the total during the past 5-seasons.

Free NHL Pick: Chicago/Toronto to go under the total of 5.5 at BetOnline

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