Pick 'Under' 5 for Tonight's NHL King-Ducks Matchup

Ross Benjamin

Thursday, November 13, 2014 4:07 PM GMT

Our NHL betting odds guru examines tonight’s game between the Kings/Ducks. For a comprehensive NHL betting report on this game, take the time to read this insightful article that concludes with a free pick on the total.

Battle in the Pacific
The Ducks will host the Kings tonight at the Honda Center in Anaheim with the opening face-off slated for 10:35 PM ET. According to the NHL betting odds at SBR, the Ducks are a -110 money line favorite, and the posted total is 5.0.

 

Stellar Goaltending Matchup
The Kings Jonathan Quick’s reputation precedes him. He’s developed into one of the best goaltenders in the world over the last 3-seasons, and has proven to be a clutch goaltender when the most is on the line. However, his performance in the early part of this season has been nothing short of sensational. Quick has compiled a superb .943 save percentage and 2-shutouts in 13-starts.

One of the more pleasant surprises in the NHL during the first 5-weeks of the season has been the outstanding goaltending by the Ducks Frederik Andersen. The native of Sweden has posted a stellar .943 save percentage, and earned 2-shutouts in 10-starts. The Ducks have gone under the total in each of their 6 home games with Andersen in goal.

 

Both Teams Tendency to Play Low Scoring Games
The Kings have begun the season by going over the total in only 4 of their first 15-games this season. They’ve allowed 2-goals or less in 9 of their previous 13-games prior to tonight. This will be just their 6th road game this season, and they’ve gone over the number in just 1 of the previous 5.

The Anaheim Ducks have remarkably gone under the total in each of their previous 12-games.  They’ve suffered from a recent goal scoring drought which has seen them score just 12-goals combined over the last 8-games. The Ducks have also allowed only 20-goals combined over their previous 12-games, and have held opponents to 2-goals or less in 9 of the 12.

 

Final Analysis
The Kings are coming off a 5-1 win over Pacific Division rival Vancouver in their previous game. They’ve started the season by going 8-7 against the money line, and that equates to a .533 win percentage. This sets up a hockey totals betting system that I will lean on to make one of my Free NHL picks for today.

Any team (Kings) playing in the 1st half of the season, coming off a win by 3-goals or more versus a division opponent, and they have a money line winning percentage of .450 to .550, has seen 47 of those 65-games (72.3%) go under the total during the past 5-seasons.

Free NHL Pick: Kings/Ducks to go under the total of 5.0

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