Pick Sabres as +130 ML Underdog over the Senators

Ross Benjamin

Monday, December 15, 2014 4:00 PM GMT

We’ve honed in on a NHL money line underdog tonight that is loaded with value: Buffalo Sabres. Our NHL free pick will provide you with a handsome rate of return on your investment.

Ottawa/Buffalo in NHL Atlantic Division Clash
The Sabres will play host to the Ottawa Senators tonight at the First Niagara Center in Buffalo with the opening faceoff slated for 7:05 PM ET. This is a makeup date for a game that was originally scheduled to be played on February 20th. The game was moved from February 20th to open that date for the Sabres' contest against the New York Rangers, which was postponed on November 21st due to a snowstorm in Buffalo. According to the NHL betting odds at 5Dimes, Ottawa is a -140 money line favorite, and the posted total is 5.0. This will be the first meeting of the season between these Atlantic Division rivals. Ottawa won 3 of their 4-games versus Buffalo a season ago, and all 4 of those contests stayed under the total.

 

Team in Transition
The Ottawa Senators are going through the unenviable task of adjusting to a head coaching change that was made last week. After beginning the season by going 11-16 against the money line, Paul MacLean was relieved of his duties as head coach, and replaced by assistant coach Dave Cameron. The Senators rewarded Cameron with his first win in a 3-2 overtime shootout victory at Boston on Saturday. Despite the win, the Senators enter tonight having won just 5 of their previous 17-games. Ottawa has gone 3-8 in their last 11 road games, and all 3 of those wins came in overtime.

 

Break up the Sabres
The Buffalo Sabres began the 2014-2015 NHL campaign by going a horrible 3-15 in their first 18-games, and there seemed to be no light at the end of the tunnel. However, they’ve shown an enormous amount of character and resiliency by winning 9 of their last 12-games, and that includes 5 straight victories on home ice. When looking inside the numbers, that recent successful run by the Sabres is nothing short of amazing considering the woeful statistics that accompany them heading into tonight. Buffalo is dead last in the NHL averaging an anemic 1.7 goals per games, and has seen opponents outshoot them by an average of 13.1 shots on goal per contest. The recent hot goaltending of Jonas Enroth has been a key contributor to their recent success. Enroth has been a winner in his last 3, 6 of the last 7, and 8 of the last 10-starts. He’s posted a superb .941 save percentage.

 

Final Analysis
There’s way too much value to pass on the home underdog for this NHL pick tonight. Ottawa is undoubtedly the better team on paper, but the Sabres are the far more confident club in this matchup. Besides, the last I checked, NHL games are still played on ice, and not on paper.

Free NHL Pick: Sabres +130 over the Senators