Pick Flyers +105 over Capitals for NHL Picks

Ross Benjamin

Sunday, March 2, 2014 4:49 PM GMT

The Capitals host the Flyers on Sunday at the Verizon Center in Washington, DC with the opening faceoff slated for 12:35 PM ET.

Philadelphia Flyers vs. Washington Capitals

According to NHL betting odds the Capitals are a -125 money line home favorite and the posted total is 5.5. These teams have seen their last 4 meetings all go over the total, and the home team has won 6 of the last 7-games in this series. The Flyers are currently 3rd in the Metropolitan Division, and tied for 7th overall in the Eastern Conference. The Capitals are 4th in the Metropolitan Division just 1-point behind the Flyers, and are 9th overall in the Eastern Conference.

Capitals Heating Up

The Washington Capitals are coming off a huge 4-2 win as a +170 road underdog over the Boston Bruins on Saturday. The win was the Capitals 4th in a row. Alex Ovechkin led the charge with a pair of goals in the win. Ovechkin now has a NHL leading 43 goals. Braden Holtby was terrific in goal for the Capitals stopping 36 of 38 Bruins shots on net, including all 16 in the 3rd period. Holtby has now won his last 4, and 6 of his last 7-starts. Washington has gone over the total in 7 of their last 9-games. Today will be the Capitals 3rd game in the last 4-days, and they’ve gone a dismal 1-6 in their last 7-games in this exact situation.

Flyers Steadily Climbing the Ladder

The Flyers have overcome a horrible start to the season that saw them lose 7 of their first 8-games. If the season were to end today they would qualify for the Stanley Cup Playoffs. However, they still have 21 regular season games left to play, and have a tough road ahead in order for them to be part of the postseason. According to recent results they’re certainly up to the task. Philadelphia has won 5 of their last 6, including a 4-2 home win over the New York Rangers on Saturday. They’ve also allowed 2-goals or less in 5 of those 6 contests. Like the Capitals, this will be the Flyers 3rd game in the last 4-days,

NHL Betting System

Let's consider some numbers before making our NHL picks. Play against any home team that’s between -100 to -150 on the money line, and they’re playing with same season revenge stemming from a loss in which they allowed 5 or more goals, in addition to playing their 5th game or less in the last 14-days. By playing against the home team in that exact situation you would be 26-10 (72.2%) over the last 5 seasons.

Free Pick: Philadelphia +105 over Washington

[gameodds]7/257035/?r-1=43-19-349/us[/gameodds]