Pick Coyotes on the Puck-Line -1.5 Over Senators

Ross Benjamin

Saturday, January 10, 2015 4:02 PM GMT

We’ve uncovered a low risk and high reward situation in the NHL game tonight between Ottawa and Arizona. After reading our preview article on this contest, you’ll fully understand why we’re so excited.

Huge Puck-Line Value in Saturday’s Ottawa/Arizona Tilt
The Arizona Coyotes will host the Ottawa Senators on Saturday at 7:05 PM ET. My focus of attention on this game will be geared toward the puck-line. According to the NHL odds at Bookmaker, Arizona is -1.5 (+250), and Ottawa is +1.5 (-305) on the puck line.

 

Struggling Senators
The Ottawa Senators enter today’s game having lost the last three, and six of their previous eight games. They’ve also gone a poor 8-15 on the road this season, and that includes 1-4 in the last five away games. Ottawa will be facing an opponent (Arizona) tonight which has converted on 22.7% of their power play chances for the year. The Senators have gone a dismal 3-13 this season against teams who’ve converted on 19% or better of their power play chances. Speaking of the power play, Ottawa has gone 0-for-18 on their man advantage opportunities during their previous five games.

 

Signs of Encouragement in the Desert
The Arizona Coyotes have gone a solid 5-2 in their last seven games. It’s been feast or famine for the Coyotes during this modest stretch of success. Their two losses came by identical 6-0 scores, and in their five wins they outscored opponents by a cumulative 21-8. The Coyotes power play has been sizzling hot over their previous five games by going 7-for-15 (46.7%).

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Final Analysis
The Arizona Coyotes are coming off a 4-1 home win over the Winnipeg Jets in their previous game. The Coyotes are at a -0.6 goal differential in the 3rd periods of their games this season.

Any money line home favorite, coming off a win by three goals or more, and they have a -0.2 or worse goal differential in the third period, has seen the home team win 32 of those 39-games during the past three seasons. The 32-wins came by an average of 2.1 goals per game.

NHL Pick- Arizona -1.5 (+250) over Ottawa on the puck-line at Bookmaker.