Pick Coyotes -125 Over Avalanche Tuesday

Ross Benjamin

Tuesday, November 25, 2014 3:30 PM GMT

A couple of struggling NHL clubs will meet tonight when the Coyotes host the Avalanche. The only good part of a matchup like this is there has to be a winner. Our NHL betting preview article on this game provides you with all the pertinent info in order to make a successful wager.

An Avalanche Spotted in the Desert
The Coyotes will take on the Avalanche tonight at the Jobing.com Arena in Phoenix, Arizona, and the opening puck drop is slated for 9:05 PM ET. The NHL betting odds list Arizona as a -125 money line favorite, and the posted total as 5.5. This will be the first meeting of the season between these teams. The Avalanche won 2 of their 3-games versus the Coyotes a season ago.

Read our NHL Picks of the Day for more free plays.

What a Difference a Year Makes
It was just a year ago that the Colorado Avalanche were on the verge of being the toast of the town. They were coming off a horrible 2012-2013 NHL campaign, and expectations were at an all time low. Then they proceeded to shock the NHL world by winning the Central Division, and finishing second overall in the Western Conference standings. This season’s start compared to last year has been the polar opposite to say the least. Colorado is currently 7-14 against the money line, and has only amassed more points than the Edmonton Oilers in the West. On a more encouraging note, they’re coming off a 4-3 home win over the Carolina Huuricanes in their most recent game, and that marked their 3rd victory in the last 4-times they took to the ice. Colorado has been hampered by shoddy play in their defensive zone, allowing 3.2 goals per game, and opponents have averaged 34.1 shots on goal per contest.

 

Coming off a Tough Stretch
The Arizona Coyotes return home tonight after playing their last 3 and 6 of the last 7-games on the road. Those 7-games all occurred during an 11-day period. They were able to go 3-4 during that time, and have seen just 1 of the last 6 go over the total. The Coyotes have struggled offensively of late, scoring 2-goals or less in 4 of their last 5-games. Arizona enters tonight having gone 9-13 against the money line this season, and that includes 4-5 at home.

 

Final Analysis
NHL betting history suggests that this exact situation leans heavily toward the money line favorite. Tonight will be the Coyotes 8th game in the last 13-days, and they possess a .409 winning percentage on the season. The Avalanche comes into this contest with a weak .350 winning percentage. The combination of these three factors creates an extremely profitable NHL angle, and it’s certainly passed the test of time with flying colors. I would be foolish to ignore these convincing numbers when making one of my NHL picks today.

Any money line favorite in the 1st half of the season, playing their 8th game or more over the last 14-days, and has a winning percentage of .400 to .490, versus an opponent with a winning percentage of .250 to .400, has gone 29-7 (80.6%) since 1996.

NHL Pick: Arizona -125 over Colorado at Bovada

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