Pair of NHL Picks Focused on Tonight's Over/Under Offerings

Ross Benjamin

Monday, December 1, 2014 2:42 PM GMT

We have two NHL picks on Monday in the games between the Lightning/Rangers and Canadiens/Avalanche. Read our analysis on these two contests which includes free picks on the totals in each game.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs. New York Rangers 7:05 PM ET

NHL Total: Over 5.5 (+106)/Under 5.5 (-117) (Courtesy of Pinnacle)
The New York Rangers have really buckled down defensively in recent games. They’ve allowed only 6-goals combined over their last 5-games, and have shutout opponents in 3 of those 5 contests. They’ve also limited those 5-opponents to an average of 26.0 shots on goal per game. Henrik Lundquist is slated to be in goal for the Rangers tonight. The veteran goaltender has posted 3 shutouts in 15-starts this season, and has a solid .911 save percentage for the year.

The Tampa Lightning has allowed opponents 27-shots or less on goal in 5 of their previous 7-games. Ben Bishop has been in goal during the entire 3-game current winning streak for the Lightning. During those outings, Bishop has allowed just 5-goals combined, and compiled a stellar .935 save percentage.

Final Analysis
The Rangers are coming off a 5-2 home win over the Philadelphia Flyers in their previous game. That win improved the Rangers money line record to 11-12 (.478) this season. These statistical facts combine to set up a successful betting angle for those looking to add this matchup to their NHL picks tonight.

Any home team (Rangers) with a total of 5.5, coming off a home win by 3-goals or more, and they have a winning percentage of .400 to .490, has seen 67 of those 96-games (69.8%) go under the total since 1996.

Free NHL Pick: Lightning/Rangers 'Under' 5.5 at 5Dimes

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Montreal Canadiens vs. Colorado Avalanche 9:05 PM ET

NHL Total: Over 5.5 (+118)/Under 5.5(-130) (Courtesy of BetOnline)
The Colorado Avalanche has seen just 2 of their previous 11-games stay under the total. They’ve averaged a robust 3.4 goals per game during their last 7-contests. Colorado’s 12-games on home have produced an average of 6.1 goals combined per contest. The Avalanche has been porous defensively during the first quarter of the season by allowing 3.1 goals per game. Colorado enters tonight with a disappointing 9-15 (.375) money line winning percentage on the year.

Montreal is coming off a 4-3 home loss in their previous game versus Atlantic Division rival the Buffalo Sabres. Despite the loss, Montreal still possesses a 16-9 money line record for the season.

NHL Betting Angle
Any team playing in the first half of the season, coming off a home loss versus a division opponent, and has a winning record on the year, versus an opponent with a losing record, has seen 36 of those 49-games (73.5%) go 'over' the NHL odds total during the past 5-seasons.

Free NHL Pick: Montreal/Colorado 'Over' 5.5 at Pinnacle

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Get another handicapper's top NHL picks for tonight here.