Oilers to Get Back on Track Against Penguins

Dana Lane

Wednesday, November 1, 2017 5:19 PM UTC

Wednesday, Nov. 1, 2017 5:19 PM UTC

The Edmonton Oilers hopes November treats them better than their 3-6-1 October did as they host the Pittsburgh Penguins at Rogers Place. Puck drops at 8:30 ET/5:30 PT on ATT, TSN, and Sportsnet One.

Free NHL Picks: Edmonton Oilers -108Best Line Offered: Pinnacle

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Pittsburgh Penguins vs Edmonton Oilers  

When the 2017-18 season began no one anticipated that the Edmonton Oilers would be well below .500 and 12 points off the pace in the Pacific Division. You would have received a hearty laugh if you would have suggested that the Oilers would be 9 points behind the expansion Vegas Golden Knights. As the page turns on October we find Edmonton fulfilling both of those unthinkable scenarios and now they welcome the two-time defending champion Pittsburgh Penguins to town. Things don’t look great for November either or do they?

We don’t have to go back far to remember that a sluggish start is not uncommon it’s just that it started a little earlier than it did last. Edmonton got off to a 7-2-1 start so their 7-9-4 record over their next 20 games didn’t seem all that noticeable. During that stretch, their goal differential was a -1 but there was one number that does reflect where they are as a team right now and that’s shots on goal. As Todd McLellan’s team coasted along after their first ten games last year they still held a 642-590 shot advantage in games 11-30. That figures out to be 32 shots a night on average. When some of those attempts started going in with more frequency that’s when Edmonton started to excel finishing 34-18-8 over their last 60 games.

Fast forward to 2017-18, the Oilers are 3-6-1 but they’re still getting plenty of shots to the net, in fact, they are well above their productivity last season at almost 38 shots per game. The point is this, at some point, the Oilers will snap out of their horrid start and when they do they’ll start mowing down Western Conference opponents. You have to think that with the Penguins coming to town that Edmonton and Connor McDavid should be highly motivated to turn their season around but what does the betting public have to say and how will it affect tonight’s number.

According to the SBR Odds page close to 59% of all wagers taken have been on the Penguins; driving the opening number from Edmonton -110 to -108. There are some spots where ‘sharp’ money has driven the line up to -115 but as we always preach make sure you shop for the best number which can be found at Match Book at -104.

I would have a lot more panic in my words if Connor McDavid wasn’t having a McDavid like season but the young center has 11 points in 10 games to go along with a +3. As long as the engine is running the train will follow. Get on board with the Oilers tonight as they make a statement to the rest of the NHL with a convincing victory over the Penguins.

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