Offense to be Tamed Between Ducks and Wild

Dana Lane

Friday, December 8, 2017 5:03 PM UTC

Friday, Dec. 8, 2017 5:03 PM UTC

Returning home the Anaheim Ducks pitched their first shutout against Ottawa. Can the defensive streak continue against the Minnesota Wild at the Honda Center? Puck drops at 10:00 ET / 7:00 PT

Minnesota Wild vs Anaheim Ducks

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Free NHL Pick: UNDER 5.5Best Line Offered: at Matchbook

Our daily write-up didn’t cash a ticket last night as the Pens and Islanders squeezed over the total but I found a winner on the ‘Ice Guys Show’ with the Penguins finally putting New York away. You can find my plays on the show every Tuesday, Thursday, and Saturday’s at 9:00 am ET/6:00 PT. Ian Cameron, Alex B. Smith, and Alex McInnis preview every game on the NHL Odds board, giving you a few leans and our best bets. Tune in on the SBR Youtube page tomorrow morning.

Tonight’s ‘Play of the day’ comes from Southern California where the Anaheim Ducks host the Minnesota Wild. The game provides us with another learning opportunity when it comes to wagering. I preach shopping all the time but let’s quantify that using tonight’s game as an example. Look at the SBR odds page where you’ll find the number on this game is all over the place. In some spots the opening number of 5.5 -128 (UNDER) has been driven down to a low of -125 at MatchBook to a high of -135 at Bovada. I say it all the time; you must shop for the best lines. If you’re not you’re throwing money away. Betting isn’t just about wins and losses; it’s about proper handling of your bankroll. Let’s break this down further. A $100 bettor laying -135 would win back a little over $74 but that same player would get back $80 laying just -125. That’s a $6 difference and that’s just one game in a whole season. It’s almost like paying a convenience tax on your winnings because you didn’t want to spend the energy opening up another book. Off the soapbox I go.

This is the second time I’ve written this up today because my computer doesn’t know what save means. I thought I’d give you more of a money management lesson this time around.

The first draft was very simple. In addition to managing your money you have to recognize team trends before the bookmakers to maximize the earning potential on the streak. The Anaheim Ducks pitched a shutout against the Ottawa Senators earlier in the week after coming back from a six game road trip. Normally you wouldn’t anticipate a team’s best effort off of a trip but the Anaheim looked like a team that wasn’t happy with their road trip. The best part for us is you normally get a better effort in game two and both teams fall into this category. The Ducks are playing their second game at home and the Wild are headed to the Honda Center for the second game of their road trip with game one resulting in a 5-2 loss to Los Angeles.

Both teams will be focused on their defensive play. One, because their feeling good about their previous effort, the other, because they know they’re better than allowing five goals to the Kings.

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