Offense Halts To A Sprinkle Between Hurricanes & Coyotes

Dana Lane

Saturday, November 4, 2017 6:03 PM UTC

Saturday, Nov. 4, 2017 6:03 PM UTC

The Arizona Coyotes hope to change their luck at Gila River Arena when the Carolina Hurricanes blow into town for a 6:00 PT/9:00 ET faceoff.

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Free NHL Pick: Under 6Best Line Offered: at Heritage


Carolina Hurricanes vs Arizona Coyotes

It’s fair to say that neither team is happy where they stand right now although the Hurricanes have plenty of time to jump back into the playoff discussion at 4-4-2, at 1-12-1 Rick Tocchet’s team is faced with a far worse reality.

Both teams are in the bottom third offensively and in Arizona’s case there is very little to offer as far as hope beyond Clayton Keller. The Coyotes are generating just 31.6 shots per game which is approximately 7 less chances than the Edmonton Oilers, who lead the league in shots. On the flip side the ‘Yotes are generous with their allowed scoring chances and under normal circumstances they wouldn’t be an ‘under’ play but in order for that to be an effective statistic they must be playing against an opponent that has the ability to take advantage of their weakness, Carolina doesn’t spark that kind of confidence in me.

Scott Darling (3-3-2, .897, 2.70) is expected to be between the pipes for Carolina with the Coyotes countering with Antti Raanta (0-2-1, .885, 4.08). Darling hasn’t played since October 29th when he gave up three goals to the Anaheim Ducks but played much better than his stat line would indicate. Raanta was horrible against the Buffalo Sabres Thursday when he allowed 5 goals on 31 shots but that kind a performance always leads me to anticipate the opposite result in the next game. These guys are professional athletes with professional coaches who know how to make adjustments from one game to the next. That’s why we often see a completely different result from a previous game. That creates a trap that most fall right into. It forces us to assume that our recent memory of a team should be an indication of what future results will be and that’s just not the case. That’s why when I see two clubs that are really good offensively or defensively I tend to look in the opposite direction because what are both coaches going to do, they’re going to put more of an emphasis on stopping an opponent’s strength. Of course, this is on a game by game basis because some teams are just bad no matter what their coaching staff tries to implement.

For tonight, you have to use your head a bit and know that even with the best strategy changes neither team has the horses to make this a track meet so this is where I hit the ‘under’ on the NHL odds board.

From a trend perspective this is a spot where Carolina thrives in defensively. In the ‘Canes last 53 games after allowing 5 goals or more in their previous game the ‘under’ is 35-14-4 in their next contest for a win percentage of 71.4%.

Grab the ‘under’ in your NHL picks tonight to cash again.

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