Odds Analysis & Betting System Suggest Devils vs. Lightning Go 'Under' for NHL Picks

Ross Benjamin

Thursday, April 9, 2015 2:54 PM UTC

Thursday, Apr. 9, 2015 2:54 PM UTC

We’re going to examine the NHL game tonight between New Jersey and Tampa Bay. Our focus will be on the total in this insightful betting preview article which concludes with a selection in that regard.

New Jersey Devils vs. Tampa Bay Lightning 7:35 PM ET
According to the  NHL betting odds at Bookmaker, Tampa Bay is a -250 money line favorite, and the posted total is 5.0. This will be the third meeting of the season between these Eastern Conference clubs, New Jersey won the first two, and each of the contests has stayed under the number. I’m going to be focusing on the total in this game since the money line leaves me limited options.


Team Totals Report
The New Jersey Devils have gone over the total in only twenty-four of eighty games (30%) this season. As a matter of fact, they’ve gone over the number in just six of their previous thirty three games (18.1%) overall. The Devils have scored a paltry two goals or less in eight of their last nine games.

The Tampa Bay Lightning has seen each of their previous three games go under the total. They will be facing an opponent (New Jersey) today that’s averaging an anemic 2.20 goals per game during the 2014-2015 NHL campaign. Tampa Bay has seen seven of eight games at home this season go under the total when facing an opponent averaging 2.55 or less goals per contest. Those eight games averaged just 4.1 goals combined scored per outing.

NHL Totals System
Tampa Bay is coming off a 4-0 win over the Florida Panthers in their previous game. The last time the Lightning faced the Devils was on 12/19/2014, and they were a 3-2 loser as a -145 money line road favorite. The combination of those two results fits comfortably within a very profitable betting system on the total, and I’ll take advantage of that valuable handicapping tool when making one of my NHL picks on Thursday.

Any team (Tampa Bay) which is playing with same season revenge stemming from a loss as a money line road favorite, and they’re coming off a win in which they shutout their opponent during their previous game, has seen fifty-nine of those eight-three games (71.1%) go under the total since 1996.

NHL Picks:  New Jersey and Tampa Bay to go under the total of 5.0 at Pinnacle.

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