Nov. 5th Free NHL Picks of the Day

Ross Benjamin

Wednesday, November 5, 2014 2:06 PM GMT

Get ready for expert betting analysis for tonight's Montreal Canadiens vs. Buffalo Sabres and Detroit Red Wings vs. NY Rangers, as this handicapper shares his free NHL picks. 

Montreal Canadiens vs. Buffalo Sabres 7:35 PM ET

NHL Money Line: Montreal -200 and Buffalo +180

NHL Total: Over 5.0 (+106) and Under 5.0 (-117)

The Buffalo Sabres are the most anemic offensive team in the NHL. They’ve scored only 14-goals in regulation time during their first 13-games of the season. The Sabres have gone over the total in just 1 of their last 9-games. The lone over in that sequence came in a 3-2 overtime shootout win over Detroit in their last game, and the total in that contest was 4.5 which was the lowest number posted in the NHL this season.

The Canadiens have struggled in recent games, and are coming off a 5-0 home loss at the hands of the Chicago Blackhawks last night.  They’ve now seen just 1 of their last 8-games go over the total, and have scored a total of just 11-goals during their last 7-games.  Montreal has averaged just 20.5 shots on goal per game in their last 4.

 

Final Analysis
The Sabres goal scoring struggles don’t figure to improve any time soon. Buffalo is averaging a NHL worst 20.9 shots on goal per game, and had 26-shots on goal or less in each of their past 5-games. As a matter of fact, they’ve had 30-shots or more on goal in a game just once in their first 13-contests. Montreal recent offensive funk has been well documented in the prior paragraph. I’m going to lean toward a low scoring game in this one, and use that as one of my NHL picks for today.

Any home team (Buffalo) that averages 29.5 or less shots on goal per game, and had 26-shots on goal or less in each of their last 5-games, has seen 28 of those 34-games (82.4%) go under the total during the past 5-seasons.

Free NHL Pick: Montreal/Buffalo to go under the total of 5.0 at BetOnline

 

Detroit Red Wings vs. New York Rangers 8:05 PM ET

NHL Money Line: Rangers -120 and Red Wings +100

NHL Total: Over 5.0 (-120) and Under 5.0 (+100)

The Detroit Red Wings have seen each of their last 5 of their last 6-games go over the total. Tonight they’ll be taking on a Rangers team which is allowing an average of 3.2 goals per game. Detroit has gone over the total in 15 of their 22-games the last 2-seasons when facing an opponent that allows an average of 2.85 goals or more per game.

The Rangers have seen 4 of 5-games this season go over the total following a loss. They’ve uncharacteristically allowed 3-goals or more in 7 of their first 11-games. “The Blue Shirts” have amassed 35-shots on goal or more in 3 of their last 4-games. Henrik Lundquist has been far from his usual dominating self in goal to start the season. Lundquist has compiled an average at best .902 save percentage in 8-starts.

Free NHL Pick: Red Wings/Rangers to go over the NHL odds total of 5.0