No Brainer Here, Take Capitals -175 Our NHL Pick Over Canadiens

Bruce Webster

Saturday, December 26, 2015 2:08 PM GMT

Saturday, Dec. 26, 2015 2:08 PM GMT

The Montreal Canadiens went into their little mini-vacation in a real slump as they have lost five in a row, while the Washington Capitals are on a roll, who will be our NHL pick here?

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NHL Pick: Washington -175
Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle

 

Offensive Woes Continue for Canadiens
The Montreal Canadiens had little trouble putting the puck in the net during their hot start to the season and for most of the early part of their year they were ranked in the top five in scoring, but that was the and this is now. The Habs come in off a tough 2-1 road loss to the Wild and have now scored two goals or less in 11 of their last 12 games, averaging just 1.58 gpg over that stretch. Those are Anaheim Duck type numbers. Scoring the lone goal in the loss to the Wild was Daniel Carr, which was just his 3rd of the year. It is a mystery to their offensive woes as they haven’t had injuries to their major contributors that would take away some scoring. 

Mike Condon didn’t play badly in the game as he stopped 20 of the 22 Minnesota shots, but still he took the loss and continues to pile up the losses. Condon started the year at 6-1, but has since gone 3-10. That is not good for the rookie, who continues to get more time while Carey Price is on the mend. Condon should start here as well and is 5-7 with a 2.31 GAA on the road, while he lost his lone start vs the Caps this year by a 3-2 score. The Habs check in at 5th in the league in scoring, putting up 2.9 gpg and 13th in power play conversions (19.5%). On defense they are 10th in goals allowed at 2.4 gpg and 4th in penalty kill (84.9%).

 

Caps Top Hurricanes to Win 6th Straight
The Washington Capitals are hot. You have heard me say that I feel they are the best team in the league and I’m sure I’ll say it a billion times more throughout the rest of the season. This is the most complete team in the league and after taking out Carolina by a 2-1 score before their break ey have now won six games in a row and 13 of their last 15. The Caps now lead the Eastern Conference with 52 points and are just two points behind Dallas for the league lead. Scoring for the Caps in the win over the Canes was Michael Latta (3rd) and Jason Chimera (9th).

Braden Holtby got a rare day off for this one, so picking up the win was Philipp Grubauer, who is now 4-3 on the year with a 2.30 GAA. Mr. Holtby should be back in goal for this one and he is 21-5 on the year with a 1.96 GAA, including 12-2 with a 1.93 GAA at home, while vs the Canadiens he is 7-2 with a 1.40 GAA. The Caps check in at 2nd in scoring at 3.1 gpg and 2nd in power play conversions (25.7%), while at the defensive end of the ice they are 1st in goals allowed at 2.2 gpg and 5th in penalty kill (84.2%). As I stated, this is the most complete team in the league.  

Must Read: Methods for Picking Winners in NHL

Trends
Montreal is:

1-5 in their last six when their opponent scores two goals or less in their previous game

0-6 in their last six vs. a team with a winning record

Washington is:

36-15 in their last 51 home games

6-1 in their last seven when their opponent allows two goals or less in their previous game

 

Betting Analysis
Really can’t go against the hottest team in the league vs a Montreal team that has won just one of their last 10 games. Washington is on a clear roll right now against the NHL odds, especially with Braden Holtby in goal. He is the best goalie in the league right now and should have little trouble in stopping a Montreal team that just can’t score right now. Caps our NHL pick will take this one and it just could be a bit of a rout. 

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