NHL Playoffs Betting Trends To Consider For Eastern Conference Series

Dana Lane

Tuesday, April 12, 2016 9:49 PM GMT

Tuesday, Apr. 12, 2016 9:49 PM GMT

I'm going to somewhat breakdown each individual matchup in the Eastern Conference but I more want to touch on what you should be looking for as you make a series or individual game bet. 

 

Series Analysis
The Detroit Red Wings travel to Tampa to take on the Lightning Wednesday to kick off the 2016 playoffs.  The Red Wings have never been a consistent betting option for me this season.  I have the Wings ranked 18th overall in my season ending power rankings so we are not looking to make a case for Jeff Blashill's team even though Tampa is battling a number of injuries.  Neither team was a great play as both failed to produce a return on investment.  However, when you look at their 'Total' record both teams have been solid in producing 'unders'.  53% of both Tampa and Detroit's games have cashed an 'under' bet. 

As far as the side bet I expect the Lightning to open around -130 in game one and you can count on the larger percentage of bets coming in on Detroit, some because of the public's love for the Wings and some because bettors hear that Steven Stamkos is out for the Lightning causing them to run to the window to back the Wings. 

Stamkos or not the Lightning are the better team here and should  win this in six games.

The gap between the New York Rangers and the Pittsburgh Penguins are a bit closer than Tampa and Detroit but it's the same premise for me. The Rangers are on the outside of my power rankings at #11 mostly due to losing four of their last seven including losses to Carolina and Buffalo.  The Penguins have been a solid investment all season returning almost 5% on your bankroll.  Impressive considering the average moneyline you'd have to lay has risen as the Penguins success mounted.  

I suggest if you like Pittsburgh to get the game early because there will  be plenty of early Penguins money driving this price up.

The Washington Capitals shouldn't have much of a problem with the Flyers except for the fact that Philadelphia has a recent victory over the Capitals and knowing that Washington was the likely first round match-up. This line should open up as Washington the decisive favorite which should be a solid number because I don't see the public driving this line down except to blindly hope for a huge dog.  The Capitals were the best bet this season returning almost 20% over your investment.  Steve Mason who has not played well will start in goal for the Flyers.  Mason is 1-2-1 with a 2.98 goals against average and a .889 save percentage. Poor numbers to blindly bet with our NHL picks

Washington in five

The New York Islanders are ranked just below the top 10 facing the Panthers who I think will win the Stanley Cup. The Panthers have been a fantastic betting option this season mostly because players were getting generous numbers with the Panthers because the NHL odds makers never were really sold on them.  

Florida in six here.

 

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