NHL Picks: Wild vs. Jets to go 'Under'

Ross Benjamin

Monday, April 7, 2014 1:21 PM GMT

Monday, Apr. 7, 2014 1:21 PM GMT

Winnipeg and Minnesota battle tonight, and our resident NHL picks expert keys in on the total in this contest. Find out what his NHL free pick is at the conclusion of this article.

Battle out West
The Jets host the Wild on Monday at the MTS Centre in Winnipeg, Manitoba, Canada with the opening face-off slated for 8:05 PM ET. According to NHL betting odds both teams are -105 on the money line and the posted total is 5.0. These teams have seen just 1 of their last 5-games played in Winnipeg go under the total. The home team has won 5 of the last 7-games between these clubs. Winnipeg has been recently eliminated from playoff contention. The Jets are 7th in the Central Division, and are 12th overall in the Western Conference. Minnesota is 4th in the Central and 7th overall in the West.

Wild about their Playoff Chances
Minnesota is coming off a huge 4-0 win over Pittsburgh on Saturday. They've now earned at least 1-point in each of their last 4-games. Following tonight's game they will play their last 3 regular season game in the friendly confines of the Xcel Energy Center in Saint Paul, Minnesota where they've been rock solid this season. The Wild have yet to clinch a playoff spot, but barring a total collapse in their final 4-games, they're in great position to attain that goal. Minnesota has gone over the total in just 11 of their 38 road games this season. They've gone under the total in 15 of 20-games this season following a game where there was 4-goals or less combined scored. They're 6th in the NHL allowing just 2.4 goals per game.

Check out live NHL Stanley Cup Betting Lines

Jets Flying Over the Total of Late
As is the case with many teams that are out of playoff picture, they tend to play a more wide open game, and attention to defensive detail gets put on the back burner. The Jets put a damper into Toronto's playoff chances with a 4-2 road win at Toronto on Saturday. They've now gone over the total in 5 of their last 6-games overall. The Jets have gone under the total in just 14 of their 39 home games this season. Winnipeg has gone 5-12 in their last 17 overall versus the money line, 2-7 in the last 9 at home, 15-40 in the last 55 versus Central Division opponents. The Jets were a 6-4 winner in their last meeting with the Wild this season, and that sets up a very profitable NHL total betting system.

NHL Betting System
Any road team that's playing with same season revenge stemming from a loss in which they allowed 5-goals or more, and they're coming off a home win by 3-goals or more, has seen 41 of those 59-games (69.5%) go under the total during the last 5 seasons.

Free Pick: Wild/Jets to go under the total of 5.0

[gameodds]7/261223/?r-1=43-19-349/us[/gameodds]

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