NHL Picks: Trust Jets Offense to Pick Up a Solid Home Win vs. Maple Leafs

Bruce Webster

Tuesday, December 1, 2015 7:27 PM GMT

The Winnipeg Jets host the Toronto Maple Leafs on Wednesday night. Join in for a thorough NHL odds breakdown and the finest selection of NHL picks for you to win big!

Toronto Maple Leafs (8-11-1-4 SU, 15-9 PL, 10-14 OU) vs Winnipeg Jets (11-12-1-1 SU, 11-14 PL, 12-12-1 OU)
Lines: -170
Total: 5.5

The Toronto Maple Leafs come in off a solid 3-0 home shutout of the Edmonton Oilers, which snapped their three game losing streak, while the Winnipeg Jets come in off a 5-3 road loss vs the Colorado Avalanche, which was their 3rd loss in their last four games. Winnipeg has won six of the last seven in the series.  

 

Rookie Goalie Blanks Oilers in First Start
Garret Sparks got the call from Toronto to make his first career NHL start on Monday night and it will be a memorable one for him as he stopped 24 shots in the 3-0 win over Edmonton. Not bad for his first career start. He took the place of James Reimer, who is dealing with a lower body injury. I guess they didn’t want to turn to Jonathan Bernier, who hasn’t won a game dating back to last year. Reimer is listed as questionable for this game, so it is unclear who will get the start tonight. Sparks became the first player in the Original Six franchise to earn a shutout in his first NHL start.

The offensive stars of the game for the Leafs were Leo Komarov, who scored twice and James Van Riemsdyk, who had three assists in the game. Scoring the other goal for the Leafs was Nazem Kadri (3rd). Komarov leads the team in scoring with 10 goals, while Riemsdyk leads them in points with 16. Toronto checks in at 25th in the league in scoring (2.2 gpg) and 11th in power play conversions, while on defense they are 18th in goals allowed (2.6 gpg) and 16th in penalty kill.

 

Hutchinson Struggles Again in Loss to the Avalanche
Winnipeg goalie Michael Hutchinson has not had a great year so far and has been struggling of late and that continued on Saturday night when he allowed four goals in a 5-3 loss to Colorado. Hutchinson is now 0-7 in his last seven starts and has allowed 24 goals in those seven starts. He does have a win in his last five games, but that was a game that he entered in relief of Pavelec. Connor Hellebuyck may get the start here as Pavelec is now on IR. Hellebuyck made his NHL debut on Friday night and beat the Minnesota Wild on the road by a 3-1 score.  

Andrew Ladd (6th), Blake Wheeler (9th) and Jacob Trouba (2nd) all score for the Jets in the loss. Wheeler leads the team in points with 25 and is now tied with Brian Little in scoring at nine goals each. The Jets come in ranked 14th in the league in scoring (2.7 gpg), but they struggle on the power play, where they are 27th. On Defense the Jets are bad as they come in ranked 29th in goals allowed (3.2 gpg) and 20th in penalty kill.

 

Trends for Toronto:
15-37 in their last 52 vs. a team with a losing record

12-48 in their last 60 road games

 

Trends for Winnipeg:
15-7 in their last 22 vs. a team with a winning percentage below .400

5-1 in their last six home games vs. a team with a road winning percentage of less than .400

Would be nice if we got rookie goalie vs rookie goalie in this one huh? Anyway, I have to go with the Winnipeg Jets here as they are 6-1 the last seven at home in the series and Toronto is still a young team that doesn’t play well on the road, and the NHL odds prove it. The Jets have the better offense in this one and also long as they keep Hutchinson out of goal they could have a much better season. Either way, they are the better team here and will pick up a solid home win. Trust them with your NHL picks.

Free NHL Pick: Winnipeg -178 at BetOnline

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