The Penguins host the Maple Leafs on Monday at the Consol Energy Center in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania with the opening puck drop scheduled for 7:05 PM ET. According to NHL odds boards, the Penguins are a -185 money line home favorite and the posted total is 5.5. These two clubs have seen 8 of their last 9 meetings in Pittsburgh go over the total. The home team has won 7 of the last 10-games between these teams. Should we expect a similar result tonight, or are hockey bettors smart to back another outcome with their NHL picks?
Rolling, Rolling, Rolling
The Pittsburgh Penguins just continue to roll having won their last 3 in a row, and 8 of the last 9-games. Tonight will be their 3rd game in the last 4-days. They come off a 4-1 win at Detroit on Saturday. They’ve gone 48-22 in their last 70 versus the money line when playing their 3rd game in 4-days. Pittsburgh has allowed 2-goals or less in 7 of their last 8-games. They’ve also scored 3-goals or more in 8 of their last 10, and 11 of their last 14-games. The Penguins have been an extremely profitable 14-3 at home versus the money line this season. They currently lead the Metropolitan Division by 8-points over the 2nd place Washington Capitals, and are 1st overall in the Eastern Conference 1-point ahead of the Boston Bruins.
The Road has been Unkind
Toronto enters tonight’s game having lost 8 of their last 9 road games. They’ve also failed to see any of their last 5 road games stay under the total. The Leafs broke a 3-game losing streak in their previous game on Saturday with an impressive 7-3 win over the defending Stanley Cup champion Chicago Blackhawks. The Leafs have allowed 3-goals or more in each of their last 5-games. This will be the Leafs 4th game in the last 6-days, and after this contest they host the Florida Panthers tomorrow night. Toronto is currently 5th in the 8-team Atlantic Division, and 7th overall in the Eastern Conference.
NHL Super Totals System
Any road team that’s playing with same season revenge from a loss in which they allowed 5-goals or more, and they’re coming off a home win by 3-goals or more in their previous game, has seen 39 of those 54-games (72.2%) stay under the total since the beginning of the 2009-2010 year.
Free NHL Pick: Toronto/Pittsburgh to go under the total of 5.5