NHL Picks for Toronto vs. Pittsburgh

Ross Benjamin

Monday, December 16, 2013 1:14 PM GMT

Monday, Dec. 16, 2013 1:14 PM GMT

The Penguins host the Maple Leafs on Monday at the Consol Energy Center in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania with the opening puck drop scheduled for 7:05 PM ET. How have we decided to approach this matchup from a sports betting angle?

The Penguins host the Maple Leafs on Monday at the Consol Energy Center in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania with the opening puck drop scheduled for 7:05 PM ET. According to NHL odds boards, the Penguins are a -185 money line home favorite and the posted total is 5.5. These two clubs have seen 8 of their last 9 meetings in Pittsburgh go over the total. The home team has won 7 of the last 10-games between these teams. Should we expect a similar result tonight, or are hockey bettors smart to back another outcome with their NHL picks?

[gameodds]7/250338/?r-1=43-19-349/us[/gameodds]

Rolling, Rolling, Rolling

The Pittsburgh Penguins just continue to roll having won their last 3 in a row, and 8 of the last 9-games. Tonight will be their 3rd game in the last 4-days. They come off a 4-1 win at Detroit on Saturday. They’ve gone 48-22 in their last 70 versus the money line when playing their 3rd game in 4-days. Pittsburgh has allowed 2-goals or less in 7 of their last 8-games. They’ve also scored 3-goals or more in 8 of their last 10, and 11 of their last 14-games. The Penguins have been an extremely profitable 14-3 at home versus the money line this season. They currently lead the Metropolitan Division by 8-points over the 2nd place Washington Capitals, and are 1st overall in the Eastern Conference 1-point ahead of the Boston Bruins.

The Road has been Unkind

Toronto enters tonight’s game having lost 8 of their last 9 road games. They’ve also failed to see any of their last 5 road games stay under the total. The Leafs broke a 3-game losing streak in their previous game on Saturday with an impressive 7-3 win over the defending Stanley Cup champion Chicago Blackhawks. The Leafs have allowed 3-goals or more in each of their last 5-games. This will be the Leafs 4th game in the last 6-days, and after this contest they host the Florida Panthers tomorrow night. Toronto is currently 5th in the 8-team Atlantic Division, and 7th overall in the Eastern Conference. 

NHL Super Totals System 

Any road team that’s playing with same season revenge from a loss in which they allowed 5-goals or more, and they’re coming off a home win by 3-goals or more in their previous game, has seen 39 of those 54-games (72.2%) stay under the total since the beginning of the 2009-2010 year.

Free NHL Pick: Toronto/Pittsburgh to go under the total of 5.5

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