NHL Picks Of The Day: Capper Predicts Low Scoring Affair Tonight

Ross Benjamin

Thursday, May 12, 2016 5:29 PM GMT

Our sports handicapping professional has gone a terrific 26-14 (65%) during the last 19 days. Go inside to get his Predators/Sharks Game 7 NHL betting preview article and pick.

Nothing Compares To A NHL Playoffs Game 7
Arguably there’s nothing more intense and exciting in sports than a Game 7 of the Stanley Cup Playoffs. That’s exactly what’s going to take place on Thursday night at the SAP Center in San Jose. This Western Conference Semifinal series between Nashville and San Jose has seen the home teams go 6-0 thus far.

Nashville was able to stave off elimination with a come from behind 4-3 overtime win in Game 6. The Predators have set a franchise record with their deepest playoff run ever. San Jose will attempt to avoid squandering a 2-0 series lead. The Sharks are 16-4 during their last 20 games following a loss. The first six games of this series have gone 4-0-2 over the total. Current NHL odds at Matchbook.com has San Jose as a -166 money line favorite and the posted total is 5.0.

 

The Goaltenders
Pekka Rinne has started all six games of the San Jose series, and by modern day NHL standards has compiled a rather average .911 save percentage. Rinne also started all seven games of the Predators quarterfinal series upset win over Anaheim. He was spectacular in Game 7 against Anaheim, stopping 36 of 37 Ducks shots on goal during a 2-1 Predators win.

Similar to his goaltending adversary, Martin Jones has started every game in not only this series but all five games of the Sharks quarterfinal win over Los Angeles. His numbers are almost identical to that of Pekka Rinne in this series, evidenced by a .914 save percentage. Barring something unforeseen, Jones will be making his first ever NHL career start in a Game 7.

 

Special Teams
Nashville has gone an uninspiring 3-19 (15.8) on the power play during this series. Believe it or not, that’s an improvement compared to its 1-26 (3.8%) with the man advantage during their series versus Anaheim. In the big picture, Nashville has been horrible with its man advantage opportunities during these playoffs, going a cumulative 4-45 (8.9%). The Predators penalty killing has also left a lot to be desired during their postseason run. They’ve allowed its playoff opponents to go 10-43 (23.3%) with the man advantage.

The San Jose power play has gone a sizzling hot 6-18 (33.3%) during this series. As a matter of fact, the Sharks power play has gone an outstanding 11-39 (28.2%) during these 2016 Stanley Cup Playoffs. Their penalty killing in the postseason has been average at best. San Jose’s first two playoff opponents are 6-33 (18.2%) with its man advantage opportunities.

 

Final Take and Pick
When all things are considered pertaining to this matchup, this game has the earmarks of a high scoring affair. However, my professional intuition leads me to lean toward a contrarian approach. One of my NHL picks on Thursday will be indicative of that exact mind set. Besides, according to Bookmaker.com, over 80% of early public wagering has gone on going over the total, yet the price has moved little if any. With no pun intended, read between the lines.

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Free NHL Pick: Under 5
Best Line Offered: at Bookmaker