NHL Picks: Take A More Dominant Stars Team Against Senators

SBR Staff

Tuesday, November 24, 2015 2:00 PM GMT

Tuesday, Nov. 24, 2015 2:00 PM GMT

Our NHL capper takes a look at the Ottawa Senators vs. Dallas Stars. Let's examine the NHL odds first and make a value betting play on his top winning selection on the game.

Craig Anderson Throws Back-To-Back Shutouts
Ottawa goalie Craig Anderson is hot right row as he is off wins vs Columbus and Philadelphia, in which he shutout both teams. They were his first two shutouts of the year and the 17th of his career. In the 4-0 win over Philadelphia he stopped 36 shots, after stopping 25 shots two nights earlier in the 3-0 win over Columbus. Anderson is now 8-7 on the year with a 2.61 GAA in tow. I would expect Ottawa to ride the hot hand here and he is 3-2 with a 3.28 GAA in his career vs the Stars.   

Kyle Turris scored his team leading 10th goal of the year in the win over Philadelphia, while also chipping in was Mika Zibanejad (3rd), Mike Hoffman (6th) and Milan Michaleck (4th). The Senators have been a strong offensive club this year as they come in ranked 7th in the league in scoring (2.9 gpg) and 10th in power play conversions (20.6%). The defense has not been as good as they rank 20th in goals allowed (2.7 gpg) and 24th in penalty kill (77.1%). 

 

Antti Niemi Has 22 Saves in Shutout of Sabres
The Dallas Stars have won most of their games with offense this year, but now their defense is starting to catch up. On Saturday Antti Niemi stopped 22 Buffalo shots in the 3-0 win and now Dallas has allowed just 13 total goals in their last eight games. For Niemi, it was his 2nd shutout of the year and 25th of his career. He is now 8-3 on the year with a 2.41 GAA. Kari Lehtonen should be back in goal for this one and he is 9-1 with a 2.34 GAA on the year, while vs the Sens in his career he is 2-3 with a 2.62 GAA.

Thanks to the recent success at the defensive end of the ice, Dallas is 7th in the league in goals allowed, giving up just 2.4 gpg. The offense is another matter as it has been strong all year and checks in at 2nd in scoring (3.5 gpg), 2nd in shots per game (31.6) and 2nd in power play conversions (27.7%). The offensive star in the win over Buffalo was Jamie Benn, who scored two third period goals. He leads both his team and the league in scoring with 14 goals. 

   

Trends
Ottawa is: 2-6 in their last eight vs. the Central Division & 0-7 the last seven games in the series.

Dallas is: 21-5 in their last 26 vs. the Eastern Conference & 7-0 in their last seven games playing on two days rest.

Can We Really go against Dallas Here on our NHL pick? The Stars won most of their early games thanks to mainly their offense, but now the defense is catching up and that makes them a more complete team. The Stars have dominated this series of late and the Eastern Conference and while Craig Anderson is off two shutouts in a row, this offense is a different animal altogether than the Columbus and Philadelphia offenses that he shut down. He won’t get a shut here and the Sens won’t get a win either. Let's check the NHL odds first.

NHL Pick: Stars -170 at 5Dimes

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":2861612, "sportsbooksIds":[1096,19,93,92,238,349], "LineTypeId":2, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]

comment here