NHL Picks: Take Flyers -1.5 Over Sabres on Puck-Line

Ross Benjamin

Saturday, January 17, 2015 2:36 PM GMT

Saturday, Jan. 17, 2015 2:36 PM GMT

We’re honing in on a puck-line selection tonight. Take a moment to read our betting preview article on today’s game between the Flyers and Sabres in which we uncover a superb puck-line value.

NHL Puck-Line Game of the Night
The Buffalo Sabres will play host to the Philadelphia Flyers tonight at 7:05 PM ET. My area of concentration will be geared toward the puck-line in regards to making one of my NHL picks for Saturday. According to the NHL betting odds at Bookmaker, the Flyers are -1.5 (+160) and the Sabres +1.5 (-190) on the puck-line.

 

Good Spot to get well for the Flyers
The Philadelphia Flyers are coming off two straight losses in which they were shutout in each game. The good news for the Flyers, they’ll facing arguably the worst team (Buffalo) in the Eastern Conference tonight, and one that’s allowed an average of 4.4 goals per outing over their last seventeen games. Buffalo has an average of 12.2 shots on goal per game less than the opposition this season. The Flyers have gone a stellar 20-8 the last two seasons versus opponents that average being outshot by 3.0 or more per game. In addition, the Sabres are allowing an average of 35.4 shots on goal per game. The Flyers have gone 4-0 in the last 4 and 8-3 in their last 11-games when they amass 33 or more shots on goal.

 

Pathetic Losing Run
The Buffalo Sabres NHL odds have them as a +1.5 dog riding tonight a nine game losing streak, and have also dropped thirteen of their last fourteen games. In those last nine losses, eight have come by two goals or more, and eleven of their previous thirteen defeats have also come by two or more goals. Buffalo will be playing an opponent (Flyers) tonight which has a -0.4 goal per game differential on the season. Sabres fans can take no solace in that statistic. Their team has gone a horrible 1-10 this season when facing an opponent with a -0.3 or worse goal per games differential, and they were outscored by an average of 2.1 goals per game in those eleven contests.

 

Final Analysis
The Buffalo Sabres enter tonight averaging an anemic 23.2 shots on goal per game, and have converted on just 8.8% of their power play opportunities on the season. They’ve also compiled only 26-shots on goal or less in each of their previous five games.

Any team (Buffalo) playing in the 2nd half of the season, averaging 27 or less shots on goal per game, converts on only 15% or less of their power play opportunities, and had 26 or less shots on goal in each of their previous five games, has gone 27-69 (28.1%) since 1996. That includes a miserable 0-7 the past three seasons.

Free NHL Pick: Play on the Flyers -1.5 (+160) on the puck-line at Bookmaker.

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