NHL Picks: Stars vs. Coyotes Money Line

PJ Laferla

Saturday, March 9, 2013 7:08 PM UTC

Saturday, Mar. 9, 2013 7:08 PM UTC

The Dallas Stars (12-9-2) will carry a two-game winning streak with them on the road this Saturday night when they face the Phoenix Coyotes (11-10-3) at the Jobing.com Arena in Glendale, Arizona.

NHL Pacific Division Matchup: Dallas vs. Phoenix

Both teams will be battling it out all night on the ice to pick up the win, but find out which of the two we are siding with to beat the NHL odds in this Pacific Division rivalry matchup.

Sportsbooks such as Bovada set the NHL odds -125 favoring the home team, but have quickly bumped the number up as high as -135 on the hockey betting board; which is somewhat justified, given the Stars poor 1-4 record in the last five matchups versus the Coyotes when facing them in Phoenix.

The games total is consistent with all Sportsbooks, setting the over/under to 5 ½ goals. The under is the more frequent trend when these two rivals meet on the ice, as 9 of the 13 meetings, including 5 of 6 in Phoenix have stayed below the posted total.

Dallas brings an offense that averages 2.9 goals per game, which falls below the league average of 3.0, but their defense is only surrendering 2.8 goals to opponents. They are 11th best in the league on the power play, with a 19.5% average, though they are even better killing penalties at an average of 84%, which is among the top tier of the league at 8th best.

The Stars are an impressive 6-2 in their last 8 games played on the road and 5-1 in their last six Pacific Division rivalry games. They are 5-0-3 over in their last 8 games played during their travels and 8-2-1 in their last 11 versus Western Conference opponents.

Phoenix also falls below the league average on offense, scoring 2.9 goals per game; and their defense is slightly worse, allowing opponents to score an average of 3 goals per game against them in their contests. They own a 16.3% average on the power play, which is a modest 18th best in the NHL, but their penalty kill percentage of 83.8 is right in line with the Stars at 9th best in the league making them a solid NHL Pick in that aspect.

The Coyotes are 8-2 (80%) in their lat ten matchups when playing on a days rest in between games and 4-1 in their last five games played on a Saturday. They are over in four consecutive games played at home and 6 of 8 overall.


The Pick                                                                                                         

Both teams are evenly matched in this contest, with a slight advantage going to the Coyotes because they are the home team; but the price is too steep, which is why the Stars are the better play to make on this game.

NHL Pick: Dallas +125 at Bovada

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