NHL Picks: Stars vs. Avalanche

PJ Laferla

Wednesday, March 20, 2013 2:40 PM GMT

Two last place teams go head to head against the NHL odds tonight when the Dallas Stars (13-12-3) take on the Colorado Avalanche (10-14-4), who have dropped four-straight and look desolate in the Western Conference.

The puck in this one is set to drop at 9:30 PM EST from the Pepsi Center in Denver, Colorado and can be seen live on television, with local broadcast coverage provided by Fox Sports.

Several online sportsbooks, including Bookmaker have pegged the home team as -130 favorites on the money line, but the Stars own a 5-2 record in the last seven meetings with the Avalanche.

The total is coming in at 5 ½ goals across the NHL odds boards, but these teams have a history of staying under the number. In fact, three of the last four between these two have fallen short of the total; as well as 19 of the last 27 when playing in Colorado.

The Stars enter play tonight with a weak offense that is scoring an average of 2.6 goals per game and a defense that surrenders 3 goals a night to opponents.

Dallas is just 3-7 in their last ten when going up against a team with a winning record on their home ice. They have also had trouble beating the bad teams, as they are only 2-6 in their last 8 versus a club with an overall losing record. The Stars have eclipsed the total in 7 of their last 11 versus teams from the Northwest Division.

The Avalanche are worse off then the Stars on offense and defense, averaging 2.5 goals per game, while giving up 3.2 to their adversaries.

Colorado is a dismal 17-35 in their last 52 matchups against the Pacific Division and 0-4 when playing after one full day of rest in between games. The Avalanche have gone over the posted total in four of their last six games played at home, but they are under in five consecutive games played on a Wednesday.  

The Pick

Both teams are struggling and there seems to be no hope in site, but one will walk out of the Pepsi Center a winner tonight.

Eight of Colorado’s ten wins have come on their home ice this season, but they haven’t proven they are unstoppable by any means.

Backing Dallas +110 on the money line is a sharp play and one that should cash in a winning ticket.

NHL Pick: Dallas +110 at Bookmaker