NHL Picks: Senators vs. Penguins Game 1

David Schwab

Tuesday, May 14, 2013 12:30 PM GMT

Tuesday, May. 14, 2013 12:30 PM GMT

The Ottawa Senators and the Pittsburgh Penguins will kick-off their best-of-seven showdown in the Eastern Conference Semifinals this Tuesday night at the Consol Energy Center. When it comes to placing your NHL picks, where do bettors have the edge?


The game is set to get underway at 4:30 p.m. (PT) and it will be broadcast nationally on the NBC Sports Network.

NHL Picks: Senators vs. Penguins Series Price & Picks 

Senators Overview 

The NHL odds for the Senators to win this series have been set at +245 so it will be an uphill climb to the conference finals to say the least. They ousted Montreal in five games in the opening round after outscoring the Canadiens 20-9. The total went OVER in three of the games as Ottawa had little problem finding the back of the net. The other positive take away from that series was the balance this team showed in scoring with five different players tallying two or more goals.  

Craig Anderson went the distance in goal for the Senators and stopped 171 of the 180 shots he faced for a save percentage of .950 to go along with a goals-against-average of 1.80. If he can play like that against the high-powered Penguins, then the longer series odds could make it difficult for those trying to decide where to place their NHL picks on the outcome of the series.  

Penguins Overview 

Pittsburgh has been opened as a -290 favorite to win this series, but it was even more of a prohibitive favorite in its opening round series against the New York Islanders. While hockey bettors were looking for a sweep or a five-game series at best, the Penguins got pushed to six games before coming away with 4-3 overtime victory as 168 road favorites to advance to this round. The one constant throughout that series was the ability to score goals in bunches with four or more goals in five of the six games.

One of the other keys to turning that series around was a change in goal from Marc-Andre Fleury to Tomas Vokoun for the final two games. He pitched a shutout in a 4-0 romp in Game 5 by stopping all 31 shots he faced. He was not as nearly solid in Game 6 but came up with the big saves when his team needed him the most. Look for Pittsburgh to stay with the hot hand for Game 1 of this series by keeping Vokoun between the pipes.

[gameodds]7/236274/43/us[/gameodds]

Senators vs. Penguins Betting Lines and Trends 

Ottawa has been opened as a 177 road underdog at Bet365, with the Penguins listed as 195 home favorites. The total for Game 1 has been set at 5.5.

The Senators are 6-1 in their last seven road games and 6-1 in their last seven games against a team with a winning record. The total has gone OVER in four of their last six games against a team with a winning record. 

The Penguins are 32-9 in their last 41 games against a team with a winning record and 19-7 in their last 26 games against a team from the Northeast Division. The total has stayed UNDER in seven of their last eight games against a team with a winning record. 

Head-to-head in this matchup, the home team has a slight 4-3 edge in the last seven meetings and the total has gone OVER in six of the last eight games. Pittsburgh won all three meetings this season. 

Senators vs. Penguins Free NHL Pick 

The Senators come into this matchup well rested and more than capable of stunning the Penguins on the road, but the free pick for Game 1 is actually on the total line as the goal scoring continues for both teams on Tuesday night. 

Ottawa vs. Pittsburgh OVER 5.5 (lines provided by Bet365) 

YTD Free NHL Picks: 37-21-2
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