NHL Picks Senators vs. Maple Leafs

Ross Benjamin

Saturday, February 1, 2014 4:27 PM GMT

The Maple Leafs host the Senators on Saturday at the Air Canada Centre in Toronto, Ontario, Canada with the opening faceoff slated for 7:05 PM ET. Join our handicapper as the looks at the NHL Betting System to find our NHL picks.

Ottawa Senators vs. Toronto Maple Leafs

According to NHL betting odds Toronto is a -130 money line home favorite and the posted total is 6.0. Toronto has won the last 5-games between these teams.

Toronto on a Tear

Toronto has been playing their best hockey over the last 3 weeks since early October. The Leafs enter tonight having won their last 2 and 8 of their last 10-games. Subsequently the hot streak has catapulted them up the standings to 3rd in the Atlantic Division, and 4th overall in the Eastern Conference. This will be the final of a 3-game in 5-day home stand for the Leafs. Following tonight they will play 4 of their next 5, and 10 of their next 13-games on the road. Toronto has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 8 of their last 9-games. The Leafs have gone under the total in just 2 of their last 17-games overall. In addition they’ve scored 4-goals or more in 7 of their last 9-games. Toronto has won their last 5 in a row at home, and their last 7 in a row versus Atlantic Division opponents.

Overcoming a Bad Start

The Ottawa Senators have fought back from a horrible start to the season which saw them lose 10 of their first 14-games. They’ve now earned at least 1-point in 12 of their last 14-games. The Senators enter tonight tied for 7th in the Eastern Conference. Ottawa games this season haven’t lacked for excitement. They’ve seen their games average 5.8 goals and 66.3 shots combined per game. Ottawa comes off an impressive 5-3 home win over Tampa Bay on Thursday. Unfortunately they’ve gone 0-6 in their last 6-games after scoring 5-goals or more, and 5-12 in their last 17 following a win.

NHL Betting System

Any team (Ottawa) coming off a win by 2-goals or more versus a division opponent, versus an opponent off a win by 3-goals or more versus a division opponent, has seen 88 of those 131-games (67.2%) go under the total since the beginning of the 1996-1997 season. Considering those statistics, we feel confident taking the under for our NHL pick.

Free Pick: Ottawa/Toronto to go under the total of 6.0

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