NHL Picks Sabres vs. Senators to go Over

Ross Benjamin

Thursday, February 6, 2014 2:58 PM GMT

The Senators host the Sabres on Thursday at the Canadian Tire Center in Ottawa, Ontario, Canada with the opening faceoff slated for 7:35 PM ET. Let's take a look at the NHL odds for this match-up to find out picks.

Buffalo Sabres vs. Ottawa Senators

According to NHL betting odds Ottawa is a -215 money line home favorite and the posted total is 5.5. These teams have seen 7 of their last 9 meetings in Ottawa go under the total. The Senators have defeated the Sabres in 8 of their last 11 meetings, including 4 of the last 5 played in Ottawa.

Miseries Continue for Sabres

The Sabres had the unenviable task of hosting the top team in the Eastern Conference last night, and were thoroughly thrashed 5-1 by the Pittsburgh Penguins. The Sabres are now 0-3 in the last 3, 1-5 the last 6, and 2-10 in their last 12 versus the money line. Ryan Miller was in goal for the Sabres last night and it certainly wasn’t one of his finest games, as he allowed 5-goals on 34-shots. Miller’s performance came on the heels of him being pulled from his previous start at Colorado, in which he allowed 5-goals on 27 shots, in a 7-1 loss to the Avalanche. There’s a possibility it may have been the final game in a Sabres uniform for Miller, who’s been widely rumored to be traded to a contending team. In all likelihood Jonas Enroth will get the start tonight in goal. Enroth has gone a miserable 1-16 in 17 starts versus the money line this season with a lofty 2.88 GAA. This will be the Sabres final game before the Olympic break. They won’t play again until February 26th when they host the Boston Bruins.

Be sure to check out our sportsbook reviews before placing your bets!

Striving for Momentum before the Break

The Ottawa Senators come off a huge road win at St. Louis on Tuesday. The Senators prevailed 5-4 in an overtime shootout, and they’ve now earned at least 1 point in 16 of their last 20-games. In the win over St. Louis the Senators were able to overcome a 3-1 deficit entering the 3rd period. It’s the kind of win that a team like Ottawa can build a plethora of momentum from. This will be the Senators 4th game in the last 6-days, and their 5th in the last 8. Ottawa has gone just 3-7 in their last 10 versus the money line when playing their 4th game in 6-days. Ottawa has also gone over the total in 7 of their last 10-games when playing their 3rd game in 4-days. After tonight they will play at Toronto on Saturday which will be their final game before the Olympic break.

Final Analysis

The Sabres have gone under the total in just 1 of their last 12-games. They’ve allowed 22-goals combined over their last 5-games. Tonight’s probable starter Jonas Enroth hasn’t seen any of his last 4 starts stay under the total, with much of that having to do with his terrible .875 save percentage in those outings. These teams have seen a combined average of 75.3 shots on goal per game in their 3 meetings this season. The Senators have gone over the total in all 5 home games this season following 2 road games, with an average of 7.6 goals combined scored per contest. We'll cout on this one being a high scoring affair and take the over in our NHL picks.

Free Pick: Buffalo/Ottawa to go over the total of 5.5

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