NHL Picks Sabres vs. Maple Leafs to go Under

Ross Benjamin

Friday, December 27, 2013 1:56 PM GMT

Friday, Dec. 27, 2013 1:56 PM GMT

The Maple Leafs host the Sabres at the Air Canada Centre in Toronto, Ontario, Canada with the opening faceoff slated for 7:35 PM ET. Let's take a look at the NHL odds and find our pick for this game.

According to NHL betting odds Toronto is a -170 money line and the posted total is 5.0. The home team has won 20 of the last 27 meetings between these teams. Toronto has gone 7-1 in their last 8 home games versus Buffalo. Toronto is currently 5th in the Atlantic Division, and 7th overall in the Eastern Conference. Buffalo is last in the 8-team Atlantic Division, and 16th overall in the Eastern Conference.

NHL Picks: Friday Picks of the Day

Not Good but Better

The Sabres are a long way from being a good team, but they've shown considerable improvement of late. Buffalo has earned 9 of a possible 14-points in their last 7-games. Their last game before the Christmas break resulted in a 2-1 overtime win at home versus the Phoenix Coyotes. The win was the 4th in the last 5 home games for the Sabres, with their only loss during the stretch coming in overtime. Unfortunately their fortunes on the road haven't resulted in many positive results. Buffalo has won just 3 of their 16 road games this season during regulation time. The Sabres are last in the NHL averaging just 1.7 goals per game. They've scored 2-goals or less in 13 of their last 16-games. The Sabres have gone over the total in just 3 of their last 18-games.

Rash of Shootouts for Leafs

Toronto has seen their last 3-games all decided via overtime shootouts. Much to the chagrin of Leafs fans their team dropped 2 of those 3 decisions. Toronto has dropped 4 of their last 5, and 7 of their last 9-games overall. They've also seen 4 of their last 5-games go under the total, and have scored 2-goals or less in 4 of their last 5. Toronto is 4th in the NHL on the power play converting on 22.4% of their chances.

Read our sportsbook reviews before placing your bets!

NHL Totals Betting System

Any road team with a total of 5.0 or less that's playing their 2nd game in the last 5-days, has seen 74 of those 116-games (63.8%) go under the total since the beginning of the 2009-2010 season. We'll take the Under for our NHL pick in this affair.

Free Pick: Buffalo/Toronto to go under the total of 5.0.

[gameodds]7/251332/?r-1=43-19-349/us[/gameodds]

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