NHL Picks: Sabres vs. Flyers

Mike Richardson

Sunday, March 10, 2013 4:56 PM UTC

Sunday, Mar. 10, 2013 4:56 PM UTC

Something has to give on Sunday night when two teams with poor runs and poor positions face off in the NHL.

Philadelphia is the location when the Flyers host the Sabres and when two sides who each “boast” a three-game losing streak meet up, it's going to come good for one…or the other. Let's look at the betting odds for this one.

Enough with the either or…WHERE’S THE MONEY MIKE?

The Flyers will still be reeling from Saturday's 3-0 loss away to Boston. (By the way a repeat of that score is offered up at +2500 for the Flyers and +4500 for Buffalo).

It’s a grudge match for Buffalo against the Gods of Hockey, especially as all of those three goals came in, in a little over 2 minutes.


Philadelphia are in real danger of having their first four-game losing run for two seasons.

Bad and Worse

It's quite a clear-cut case of things being bad for the Flyers at present, as all three of their recent defeats have come in regulation. The Buffalo Sabres by comparison have had six straight one-goal contests.

You can pick up odds of +250 on the winning margin being one (to the Flyers) or +650 for the Sabres. If you care not for the margin, the amount might tempt you over 4.5 goals at -320, or maybe just bet on the game going under 4.5 goals at +229.

Buffalo are currently 3-3-2 during the tenure of their interim coach, Ron Rolston and are +125 on a win in this match, while a draw is at +280.

But be warned, Buffalo are having issues with their powerplay and are staring straight at 12.2% of converted power-play chances.

It gets worse for them and better for Philadelphia as the Sabres are also looking at an Eastern Conference low of winning just 8.7% of their games on the road.


The last time that the Sabres were in action was on the wrong end of a 3-2 shootout loss at New Jersey, and I doubt they’ll bounce back this weekend.

Both these sides have previous, not least when they met at the start of the season back in January when Buffalo went 5-2 over Philadelphia.

It was a huge game as it marked the point that Buffalo slapped their four-game losing streak against Philadelphia and Thomas Vanek set himself a career-high with five points in that match.

Vanek is a very tidy 13 points in his last seven games against the Flyers and is back to scoring after a six-game drought thanks to his strike on Thursday.

The Flyers are in real danger of missing the Stanley cup play-offs sitting on a tawdry 20 points, that's three fewer than the eighth place New York Rangers even though they've played more games than almost everyone in the conference.

Buffalo seem to be doing even worse, they've got just nine wins after 25 games although they've suffered three overtime defeat in that run.

The Sabres will likely be missing defenceman Jordan Leopold, who’s missed the past seven games with a hand injury, and will also be without Patrick Kaleta is on the second game of his five game suspension.

The Flyers by comparison will be missing out on forwards Tye McGinn and Jody Shelley.

It’s not going to be pretty, but your Humble Handicapper is backing a Flyers’ victory for this NHL pick, which is available with the bookies at +110.

NHL Picks: Philadelphia win 3-1, available at +1400 with William Hill.

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