NHL Picks: Reliable Puck Line To Help You Cash In On Capitals vs. Flyers

Ross Benjamin

Friday, April 22, 2016 12:00 PM UTC

Friday, Apr. 22, 2016 12:00 PM UTC

Our NHL handicapper provides us with an insightful outlook on Friday’s game between Flyers and Capitals. Go inside to read this compelling betting preview before many any of your NHL picks.

Caps Attempt to Close out Flyers
The Capitals and Flyers will square off for Game 5 of their Eastern Conference Quarterfinal series on Friday. The opening faceoff at the Verizon Center in Washington is slated for 7:05 PM ET.  The Flyers were able to stave off elimination, and also avoided being swept by virtue of a 2-1 home win in Game 4. The first four games of the series have gone 2-1-1 under the total, and Washington has outscored Philadelphia by a decisive cumulative margin of 13-4. Current (9:50 AM ET) NHL odds  has Washington as a mammoth -215 money line favorite, and the posted total is 5.0. The Capitals are also +140 on the puck line while Philadelphia is -160.


Flyers Goaltending Change pays Dividends
Steve Mason was in goal for Philadelphia during the first three games of this series. Mason was rock solid in Game 1, but turned in poor performances during Games 2 and 3. He allowed 10 goals during those two outings, and had an extremely poor .800 save percentage. Down 3-0 in the series, the Flyers coaching staff opted for Michael Neuvirth between the pipes for Game 4. Neuvirth made the best of his opportunity by stopping 31 of 32 Washington shots on goal during a 2-1 win. Although there’s been no official confirmation at the time of this writing, it would be hard to imagine, Philadelphia not sticking with Neuvirth for Game 5.


Hot Holtby
Despite suffering a loss in Game 4, Braden Holby has been sensational in goal during this series. Holtby has posted an excellent 1.00 GAA and .966 save percentage during the first four games. As a matter of fact, going back to regular season action, Holby has compiled a brilliant .963 save percentage during his last six starts against Philadelphia. Washington has gone a terrific 28-7 (.800) at home this season when Holtby is their starting goaltender.


Huge Special Teams Edge for Caps
The special team advantage during the first four games of this series clearly goes to Washington, and by a substantially wide margin. Washington has gone a superb 8-for-19 (42.1%) on the power play. In fact, 61.5% of their goals scored in the series have come via their man advantage opportunities.

Philadelphia has been on the opposite side of that spectrum in this regard. The Flyers are an abysmal 1-for-15 (6.7%) on their power play chances.


Final Take and Pick
Washington let Philadelphia off the hook in Game 4, and thus allowing them to extend this series. Despite the odds at BetOnline being overwhelmingly stacked against Philadelphia coming back to win this series, I look for Washington to display a higher degree of urgency at home tonight, and consequently eliminate the Flyers. By doing so, they’ll allow themselves an ample amount of rest before convening on the upcoming Eastern Conference Semifinals. You can never underestimate rest at this time of the year. Winning the Stanley Cup consists of a physically demanding grind that extends into June, and any rest that can be secured along the way is extremely essential.

All three Washington wins in this series have come by 2 goals or more. I look for more of the same this evening. I like the home team on the puck line for one of my Friday NHL picks.

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Free NHL Pick:  Washington -1.5 +140
Best Line Offered:  at Intertops

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