NHL Picks: Predators vs. Canucks to go 'Over'

Ross Benjamin

Wednesday, March 19, 2014 2:39 PM UTC

Wednesday, Mar. 19, 2014 2:39 PM UTC

The Canucks host the Predators on Wednesday at the Rogers Arena in Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada with the opening face-off slated for 10:05 PM ET.

Nashville Predators vs. Vancouver Canucks
According to NHL betting odds the Canucks are a -140 money line home favorite and the posted total is 5.0. Vancouver has won 4 of their last 5-games versus Nashville. These teams have seen 4 of the last 5 played in Vancouver go over the total. Vancouver is currently 5th in the Pacific Division, and 10th overall in the Western conference. Nashville is last in the Central Division, and 12th overall in the Western Conference.

Small Glimmer of Hope
The Vancouver Canucks return home from a 4-game in 6-day road trip that saw them go 2-2. Despite going 8-22 versus the money line in their last 30-games, the Canucks are still clinging to their hopes of qualifying for the playoffs. With 11-games left to play in the regular season they trail the Phoenix Coyotes by 5-points for the 8th and final playoff spot in the Western Conference. However, the Coyotes do have 2-games on hand. This will be Vancouver’s 3rd game in the last 4-days, and their 4th in the last 6. They’ve gone 1-5 in their last 6 versus the money line when playing their 4th-game in 6-days. They’ve also gone over the total in just 9 of their last 39-games when playing their 4th game in the last 6-days, in addition to going over in just 12 of their last 45 home games overall. Vancouver is currently 29th in the NHL averaging a paltry 2.3 goals per game.

Take a look at the top NHL Stanley Cup Betting Lines

Mathematically Possible but Realistically Improbable
The Nashville Predators playoff chances are dim at best. With 12-games left to play they’re 9-points behind the Phoenix Coyotes who currently hold the final playoff position in the West. Although they’re mathematically still alive for the playoffs, realistically it’s highly improbable. Nashville enters tonight off a 5-1 loss at Edmonton last night. They’ve now lost 2 in a row, and 6 of their last 9. The Predators have gone a dismal 1-5 in their last 6-games when playing with no rest. Nashville has gone over the total in just 2 of their last 10-games.

NHL Betting System
Let's consider some trends before finalizing our NHL pick for this match-up. Any home team with a total of 5.0 or less that averages 2.55 goals or less per game, and they’ve scored 3-goals or more in each of their last 3-games, has gone under the total in 82 of those 126-games (65.1%) in the last 18 seasons.

Free Pick: Nashville/Vancouver to go under the total of 5.0


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