NHL Picks: Play Canadiens & Penguins to Stay 'Under' the Total

Ross Benjamin

Tuesday, October 13, 2015 4:26 PM GMT

Our NHL handicapping professional provides us with a betting preview on Tuesday’s game between Montreal and Pittsburgh. Go inside to read this revealing article that’s culminated with his NHL pick.

Battle of Elite Eastern Conference Teams on Tuesday
Pittsburgh (0-2) will host Montreal (3-0) on Tuesday with the opening faceoff slated for 7:05 PM ET. According to NHL odds at 5Dimes, Pittsburgh is a -135 money line favorite, and the posted total is 5.0. This will be the first meeting of the season between these teams. They met three times last season, Pittsburgh was 2-1, and the games were 2-0-1 under the total.

 

Road Warriors
Tuesday will be the finale of a four game in seven day road trip to open the season for Montreal. The Canadiens have won each of the first three on this trip, and have done so in a relatively convincing manner. They outscored Toronto, Boston, and Ottawa during this current win streak by a cumulative margin of 10-4. In their last two games, Montreal has outshot the opposition by a combined 72-42. Carey Price was his brilliant self during the first two wins, compiling a 1.50 GAA, and superb .948 save percentage. Backup goaltender Michael Condon made his NHL debut on Sunday at Ottawa, and was rock solid in a 3-1 Montreal win. Price started all three games versus Pittsburgh a season ago, and had a stellar .922 save percentage in those outings. Montreal will finally play in their home opener on Thursday when they host the New York Rangers.

 

Unimpressive Start for Pens
Pittsburgh will be playing in their home opener today after beginning the season with two road games. It’s been an inauspicious beginning for the Penguins. They lost at Dallas and Arizona while being outscored 5-1 in those contests. On a positive note, Marc-Andre Fleury played well in goal, posting a .921 save percentage in the two losses. Fleury started all three games against Montreal last season, and compiled a sparkling .943 save percentage. Pittsburgh has gone 16-3 under the total at home during the past two seasons after losing two or more games in a row.

 

Final Analysis
Montreal has allowed just 2 even strength goals in their first three games. The Canadiens are also an abysmal 1-for-14 (7.1%) on the power play thus far. Pittsburgh allowed only 3 even strength goals in their first two games, and was an awful 0-for-7 on their power play chances. Combining that recent data, and with a game featuring two of the best goaltenders in the NHL, I like this to be a low scoring affair. One of my NHL picks today will coincide with that line of thinking.

NHL Pick: Under 5 (+120) at 5Dimes

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